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Newport Harbor Sailors (9-5)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Sunset

State: CA

Coach: Chad Donnelley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at Chadwick School (8-9)	CA So-Bay	81.6		L	4-	6		-0.200
3/07	at Tesoro (7-8)	CA Coast	81.4		W	5-	4	ot	0.275
3/10	at Avalon-Catalina (6-5)	CA Sunset	77.7		W	9-	8	2ot	0.250
3/14	at J Serra Catholic (13-4)	CA Trinity	89.2	6	L	0-	12		-0.075
3/16	at Tustin HS (0-10)	CA Sunset	57.0		W	17-	2		0.000
3/21	at Los Alamitos (7-4)	CA Sunset	79.7		L	7-	8	3ot	-0.250
3/30	MARINA (4-11)	CA Sunset	69.2		W	11-	2		0.025
4/12	at Santa Margarita (6-12)	CA Trinity	76.4		W	12-	7		0.200
4/13	at Marina (4-11)	CA Sunset	69.2		W	10-	3		0.075
4/18	LOS ALAMITOS (7-4)	CA Sunset	79.7		W	10-	5		0.175
4/21	CORONA DEL MAR (12-7)	CA Seaview	89.4	5	L	4-	13		-0.075
4/24	AVALON-CATALINA (6-5)	CA Sunset	77.7		W	10-	6		0.200
4/25	at Tustin HS (0-10)	CA Sunset	57.0		W	11-	1		0.000
4/28	at Foothill-Santa Ana (19-2)	CA Seaview	96.8	1	L	2-	12		0.000
			81.1						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Chadwick School	4-	6	-2	-2		1.07	0.11
3/07	A	Tesoro	5-	4	1	-1	+	1.07	2.41
3/10	A	Avalon-Catalina	9-	8	1	0		1.07	1.28
3/14	A	J Serra Catholic	0-	12	-12	-7	––	1.07	-4.53
3/16	A	Tustin HS	17-	2	15	17		1.07	-1.68
3/21	A	Los Alamitos	7-	8	-1	0		1.07	-1.41
3/30	H	Marina	11-	2	9	9		-1.07	0.29
4/12	A	Santa Margarita	12-	7	5	2	+	1.07	2.94
4/13	A	Marina	10-	3	7	7		1.07	0.43
4/18	H	Los Alamitos	10-	5	5	3	+	-1.07	2.45
4/21	H	Corona Del Mar	4-	13	-9	-7	–	-1.07	-2.24
4/24	H	Avalon-Catalina	10-	6	4	2	+	-1.07	2.14
4/25	A	Tustin HS	11-	1	10	17	–––	1.07	-6.68
4/28	A	Foothill-Santa Ana	2-	12	-10	-14	++	1.07	4.49
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	A	J Serra Catholic	0-	12	2.00
3/16	A	Tustin HS	17-	2	1.68
4/25	A	Tustin HS	11-	1	6.68
4/28	A	Foothill-Santa Ana	2-	12	-4.49
10-goal correction: 0.42

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1530
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.44		Natl Power Rank	1530
Natl SOS Rating	72.73		Natl SOS Rank	1622
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	497
W-L Pct Rating	0.64		W-L Pct Rank	760
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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