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Northville Mustangs (11-5)

Region: MI 1State: MICoach: Greg Durham

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/24HARTLAND (6-11)MI 281.4W15- 5 0.025  
3/29at Novi (16-3)MI 189.7L7-11 -0.125  
3/31FLINT POWERS (16-4)MI 288.7W9- 8ot0.225  
4/04at South Lyon (10-7)MI 183.8W8- 7 0.225  
4/17at Ann Arbor Huron (6-7)MI 187.5L6-13 -0.175  
4/19PLYMOUTH CANTON-SALEM (9-10)MI 183.9W9- 4 0.150  
4/21at Walled Lake Northern (5-13)MI 179.9W14- 4 0.050  
4/24at Plymouth Canton-Salem (9-10)MI 183.9W9- 7 0.225  
5/03UTICA EISENHOWER (10-7)MI 184.2W14- 3 0.125  
5/04vs. Rochester # (9-8)MI 182.6W7- 4 0.125  
5/05at Grosse Pointe South (15-6)MI 288.9W7- 63ot0.375  
5/08HOWELL (1-17)MI 174.5W18- 3 0.000  
5/12at Saline (19-1)MI 190.37L2- 9 -0.175  
5/17at Farmington Hills (9-12)MI 184.8L6- 9 -0.275  
5/23BRIGHTON (12-3)MI 187.6W7- 5 0.200  
5/30vs. Detroit Catholic Cent # (13-6)MI 192.95L5-18 -0.025  
# Neutral site 81.7     0.95  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/24HHartland15-510   9       -1.67       0.73
3/29ANovi7-11-4   -5       1.67       0.80
3/31HFlint Powers9-81   1       -1.67       0.34
4/04ASouth Lyon8-71   1       1.67       -0.36
4/17AAnn Arbor Huron6-13-7   -3       ––1.67       -4.16
4/19HPlymouth Canton-Salem9-45   4       -1.67       0.74
4/21AWalled Lake Northern14-410   8       +1.67       2.36
4/24APlymouth Canton-Salem9-72   1       1.67       1.08
5/03HUtica Eisenhower14-311   5       +++-1.67       6.24
5/04NRochester7-43   5       0.00       -1.91
5/05AGrosse Pointe South7-61   -5       ++1.67       5.51
5/08HHowell18-315   15       -1.67       0.22
5/12ASaline2-9-7   -3       –1.67       -3.73
5/17AFarmington Hills6-9-3   1       –1.67       -3.96
5/23HBrighton7-52   2       -1.67       -0.13
5/30NDetroit Catholic Cent5-18-13   -9       –0.00       -3.76
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/24HHartland15-50.00
4/21AWalled Lake Northern14-40.00
5/03HUtica Eisenhower14-3-1.00
5/08HHowell18-3-0.22
5/30NDetroit Catholic Cent5-183.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 883
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.83   Natl Power Rank 883
Natl SOS Rating 73.15   Natl SOS Rank 1572
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.95   Natl Quality Win Rank 272
W-L Pct Rating 0.69   W-L Pct Rank 597
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.7



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