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NorthWest Jaguars (3-10)

Region: MD 43 North

State: MD

Coach: Randy Hostetter

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	at Magruder (3-11)	MD 43 North	71.4		L	5-	6	ot	-0.225
3/24	SENECA VALLEY (13-2)	MD 32 West	84.7		L	3-	16		-0.050
3/27	at Clarksburg (2-11)	MD 32 West	62.7		W	12-	4		0.025
3/29	at Watkins Mill (5-11)	MD 43 North	73.8		L	9-	10	ot	-0.225
4/11	WHITMAN (8-8)	MD 43 West	84.1		L	1-	18		0.000
4/13	at Richard Montgomery (3-10)	MD 43 North	71.8		W	9-	8	ot	0.275
4/19	WALTER JOHNSON (10-6)	MD 43 West	84.9		L	5-	12		0.000
4/25	at Churchill (11-3)	MD 43 West	89.2		L	1-	18		0.000
4/27	QUINCE ORCHARD (7-7)	MD 43 North	80.1		L	7-	11		-0.100
5/02	at Blair (8-5)	MD 43 West	77.3		L	3-	10		-0.150
5/04	WOOTTON (18-1)	MD 43 West	92.3	6	L	3-	19		0.000
5/07	POOLESVILLE (5-11)	MD 21 West	72.6		W	11-	6		0.250
5/12	at Quince Orchard (7-7)	MD 43 North	80.1		L	10-	15		-0.050
			78.1						-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	A	Magruder	5-	6	-1	-1		0.72	-0.26
3/24	H	Seneca Valley	3-	16	-13	-8	––	-0.72	-4.59
3/27	A	Clarksburg	12-	4	8	9		0.72	-0.81
3/29	A	Watkins Mill	9-	10	-1	-1		0.72	0.29
4/11	H	Whitman	1-	18	-17	-10	–––	-0.72	-6.53
4/13	A	Richard Montgomery	9-	8	1	-1	+	0.72	2.04
4/19	H	Walter Johnson	5-	12	-7	-11	++	-0.72	4.05
4/25	A	Churchill	1-	18	-17	-16		0.72	-0.60
4/27	H	Quince Orchard	7-	11	-4	-6	+	-0.72	2.21
5/02	A	Blair	3-	10	-7	-4	–	0.72	-3.50
5/04	H	Wootton	3-	19	-16	-17		-0.72	0.53
5/07	H	Poolesville	11-	6	5	0	++	-0.72	4.51
5/12	A	Quince Orchard	10-	15	-5	-8	+	0.72	2.66
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Seneca Valley	3-	16	3.00
4/11	H	Whitman	1-	18	7.00
4/25	A	Churchill	1-	18	0.60
5/04	H	Wootton	3-	19	-0.52
10-goal correction: 0.77

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	2363
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.28		Natl Power Rank	2363
Natl SOS Rating	67.39		Natl SOS Rank	2128
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	1764
W-L Pct Rating	0.23		W-L Pct Rank	2163
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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