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Nansemond-Suffolk Acad Saints (8-7)

Region: VA 2 Tidewtr

State: VA

Coach: Trent Blythe

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	LAFAYETTE (0-17)	VA BayRiv	72.6		W	18-	1		0.000
3/24	GLENELG COUNTRY (8-10)	MD B MIAA	81.3		L	3-	13		-0.400
3/30	ST ANNE'S-BELFIELD (14-5)	VA 1 VIP	92.1		L	2-	12		-0.125
4/03	BENEDICTINE (6-10)	VA 2 Privte	82.6		W	10-	5		0.175
4/05	HAMPTON ROADS ACADEMY (0-13)	VA 2 Tidewtr	74.8		W	9-	3		0.075
4/10	NORFOLK ACADEMY (22-2)	VA 1 Tidewtr	96.1		L	2-	18		-0.025
4/12	at Cape Henry Collegiate (15-7)	VA 1 Tidewtr	90.0		L	4-	11		-0.150
4/13	LOUISVILLE ST XAVIER (15-7)	KY Div-1	89.3		W	6-	5		0.300
4/17	WALSINGHAM ACADEMY (7-7)	VA 2 Privte	87.5	5	L	8-	9		-0.200
4/19	vs. Notre Dame Academy # (18-2)	MD MILL	95.2		L	5-	12		-0.025
4/23	CHRISTCHURCH (6-8)	VA 2 VIC	85.5	9	W	13-	10		0.250
4/27	at Norfolk Collegiate (4-9)	VA 2 Tidewtr	79.9		W	8-	7	ot	0.175
5/01	at Catholic-Sullivan (12-7)	VA 2 Tidewtr	87.3	6	W	12-	6		0.275
5/04	at Steward (2-11)	VA 2 Privte	75.8		W	11-	4		0.050
5/08	CATHOLIC-SULLIVAN (12-7)	VA 2 Tidewtr	87.3	6	L	4-	12		-0.250
# Neutral site			85.7						0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	Lafayette	18-	1	17	15		-1.14		1.98
3/24	H	Glenelg Country	3-	13	-10	6	–––	-0.90		16.02
3/30	H	St Anne's-Belfield	2-	12	-10	-5	––	-0.44		-4.78
4/03	H	Benedictine	10-	5	5	3		-0.37	1.86
4/05	H	Hampton Roads Academy	9-	3	6	7		-0.37	-1.16
4/10	H	Norfolk Academy	2-	18	-16	-9	–––	-0.44		-6.83
4/12	A	Cape Henry Collegiate	4-	11	-7	-4	–	0.44		-2.97
4/13	H	Louisville St Xavier	6-	5	1	-2	+	-1.09		2.79
4/17	H	Walsingham Academy	8-	9	-1	-2		-0.37	0.57
4/19	N	Notre Dame Academy	5-	12	-7	-9		0.00		1.75
4/23	H	Christchurch	13-	10	3	0	+	-0.37	2.88
4/27	A	Norfolk Collegiate	8-	7	1	3	–	0.37	-2.06
5/01	A	Catholic-Sullivan	12-	6	6	-1	+++	0.37	6.83
5/04	A	Steward	11-	4	7	8		0.37	-1.02
5/08	H	Catholic-Sullivan	4-	12	-8	0	–––	-0.37	-7.90
									0.00	-24.07

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	Lafayette	18-	1	-1.98
3/24	H	Glenelg Country	3-	13	0.00
3/30	H	St Anne's-Belfield	2-	12	0.00
4/10	H	Norfolk Academy	2-	18	6.00
10-goal correction: 0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1140
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.44		Natl Power Rank	1140
Natl SOS Rating	80.76		Natl SOS Rank	813
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	904
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1154
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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