| Region: VA Comw | State: VA | Coach: Bill Ayres |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/14 | A | Stafford | 18- | 0 | 18 | 17 | | 1.69 | 1.07 | |
3/23 | A | Mountain View | 18- | 4 | 14 | 13 | | 1.69 | 1.30 | |
3/28 | H | Albemarle | 10- | 7 | 3 | 3 | | -1.69 | -0.34 | |
3/31 | H | Patrick Henry | 16- | 5 | 11 | 11 | | -1.69 | -0.01 | |
4/04 | A | Brooke Point | 15- | 3 | 12 | 9 | + | 1.69 | 2.52 | |
4/14 | N | Our Lady-Good Counsel | 6- | 7 | -1 | 1 | – | 0.00 | | -2.16 |
4/14 | A | McLean | 11- | 6 | 5 | 5 | | 1.44 | | -0.20 |
4/18 | H | Stafford | 21- | 2 | 19 | 20 | | -1.69 | -1.31 | |
4/23 | H | Colonial Forge | 18- | 3 | 15 | 9 | +++ | -1.69 | 6.29 | |
4/25 | H | Mountain View | 18- | 3 | 15 | 16 | | -1.69 | -1.09 | |
5/02 | A | Albemarle | 15- | 9 | 6 | 0 | +++ | 1.69 | 6.05 | |
5/04 | A | Colonial Forge | 10- | 8 | 2 | 5 | – | 1.69 | -3.33 | |
5/07 | H | Brooke Point | 17- | 4 | 13 | 13 | | -1.69 | 0.14 | |
5/09 | H | Osbourn Park | 11- | 5 | 6 | 9 | – | -1.69 | -3.09 | |
5/15 | H | Brooke Point | 16- | 1 | 15 | 13 | + | -1.69 | 2.14 | |
5/17 | H | Albemarle | 6- | 11 | -5 | 3 | ––– | -1.69 | -8.34 | |
5/21 | H | Fauquier | 15- | 5 | 10 | 14 | – | -1.69 | -3.97 | |
5/23 | H | Culpeper HS | 19- | 6 | 13 | 9 | ++ | -1.69 | 4.32 | |
5/25 | H | Albemarle | 10- | 9 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.69 | -2.34 | |
5/29 | H | Woodson | 8- | 9 | -1 | 1 | | -1.44 | | -1.83 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -4.19 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/14 | A | Stafford | 18- | 0 | -1.07 |
3/23 | A | Mountain View | 18- | 4 | -1.30 |
3/31 | H | Patrick Henry | 16- | 5 | 0.01 |
4/04 | A | Brooke Point | 15- | 3 | -2.00 |
4/18 | H | Stafford | 21- | 2 | 1.31 |
4/23 | H | Colonial Forge | 18- | 3 | -5.00 |
4/25 | H | Mountain View | 18- | 3 | 1.09 |
5/07 | H | Brooke Point | 17- | 4 | -0.14 |
5/15 | H | Brooke Point | 16- | 1 | -2.14 |
5/21 | H | Fauquier | 15- | 5 | 3.97 |
5/23 | H | Culpeper HS | 19- | 6 | -3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.41 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 373 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.50 | | Natl Power Rank | 373 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 77.77 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1114 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.08 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1068 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.85 | | W-L Pct Rank | 154 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 8.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 7-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 5.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 11-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 7.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 16-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 9.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.3 |
|
