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NorthWest Guilford Vikings (6-9)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Brian Heide

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/07	WEST FORSYTH (5-12)	NC 4A	74.9		W	15-	5		0.100
3/09	at Charlotte Providence (20-4)	NC 4A	92.8	4	L	3-	22		0.000
3/13	HILLSBOROUGH ORANGE (5-14)	NC 3A/2A	72.6		W	14-	4		0.025
3/20	at R.J. Reynolds (6-10)	NC 4A	77.8		W	8-	7	ot	0.200
3/21	NORTHEAST GUILFORD (0-9)	NC 3A/2A	67.3		W	12-	0		0.000
3/23	GREENSBORO PAGE (16-4)	NC 4A	91.3	7	L	6-	11		-0.075
3/28	CHAPEL HILL (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	1-	14		0.000
3/30	at Greensboro Grimsley (10-8)	NC 4A	85.2		L	7-	10		-0.125
4/09	RAGSDALE-JAMESTOWN (10-7)	NC 3A/2A	82.9		L	10-	11	ot	-0.250
4/13	at Eastern Guilford (1-18)	NC 3A/2A	68.4		W	12-	1		0.000
4/17	R.J. REYNOLDS (6-10)	NC 4A	77.8		W	11-	6		0.175
4/20	at Greensboro Page (16-4)	NC 4A	91.3	7	L	7-	14		-0.025
4/25	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (10-8)	NC 4A	85.2		L	5-	14		-0.175
4/27	at Western Guilford (19-0)	NC 3A/2A	94.6	2	L	5-	14		0.000
5/02	at SouthEast Guilford (11-6)	NC 3A/2A	87.3		L	8-	10		-0.100
			84.2						-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	H	West Forsyth	15-	5	10	6	++	-0.74	4.03
3/09	A	Charlotte Providence	3-	22	-19	-11	–––	0.74	-8.49
3/13	H	Hillsborough Orange	14-	4	10	9		-0.74	1.47
3/20	A	R.J. Reynolds	8-	7	1	2		0.74	-0.64
3/21	H	NorthEast Guilford	12-	0	12	13		-0.74	-0.57
3/23	H	Greensboro Page	6-	11	-5	-7	+	-0.74	2.03
3/28	H	Chapel Hill	1-	14	-13	-12		-0.74	-1.50
3/30	A	Greensboro Grimsley	7-	10	-3	-5		0.74	1.69
4/09	H	Ragsdale-Jamestown	10-	11	-1	0		-0.74	-0.82
4/13	A	Eastern Guilford	12-	1	11	11		0.74	-0.37
4/17	H	R.J. Reynolds	11-	6	5	3		-0.74	1.88
4/20	A	Greensboro Page	7-	14	-7	-9		0.74	1.51
4/25	H	Greensboro Grimsley	5-	14	-9	-3	––	-0.74	-5.78
4/27	A	Western Guilford	5-	14	-9	-10		0.74	1.18
5/02	A	SouthEast Guilford	8-	10	-2	-6	++	0.74	4.36
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/07	H	West Forsyth	15-	5	0.00
3/09	A	Charlotte Providence	3-	22	8.49
3/13	H	Hillsborough Orange	14-	4	0.00
3/21	H	NorthEast Guilford	12-	0	0.57
3/28	H	Chapel Hill	1-	14	1.50
4/13	A	Eastern Guilford	12-	1	0.37
10-goal correction: 0.73

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1587
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.85		Natl Power Rank	1587
Natl SOS Rating	78.35		Natl SOS Rank	1059
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	1789
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1672
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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