| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Anthony Gray |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/17 | at DeMatha (14-7) | DC WCAC | 93.5 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.175 |
3/20 | at Landon (15-5) | DC IAC | 97.5 | | L | 1- | 16 | | -0.075 |
3/26 | ROBINSON (18-2) | VA Concord | 96.4 | 1 | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.200 |
3/29 | at Archbishop Spalding (8-11) | MD A MIAA | 93.3 | | L | 4- | 16 | | -0.200 |
4/10 | COLONIAL FORGE (9-7) | VA Comw | 85.9 | | W | 13- | 2 | | 0.050 |
4/13 | at Westfield (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.275 |
4/19 | CENTREVILLE (4-9) | VA Concord | 83.8 | | W | 12- | 9 | | 0.000 |
4/23 | FAIRFAX (3-9) | VA Concord | 84.2 | | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | at Herndon (5-7) | VA Concord | 87.6 | | W | 18- | 7 | | 0.125 |
5/01 | at Chantilly (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.225 |
5/03 | GEORGETOWN PREP (20-1) | DC IAC | 99.3 | | L | 3- | 15 | | -0.100 |
5/07 | CENTREVILLE (4-9) | VA Concord | 83.8 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | WESTFIELD (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.275 |
5/15 | at Hayfield (14-2) | VA Patriot | 93.1 | 4 | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.225 |
5/17 | at Woodson (14-6) | VA Liberty | 93.1 | 3 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.250 |
| | 90.2 | | | | | | -0.37 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/17 | A | DeMatha | 6- | 8 | -2 | -3 | | 1.34 | | 0.71 |
3/20 | A | Landon | 1- | 16 | -15 | -7 | ––– | 1.26 | | -8.39 |
3/26 | H | Robinson | 5- | 10 | -5 | -2 | – | -1.19 | -3.36 | |
3/29 | A | Archbishop Spalding | 4- | 16 | -12 | -2 | ––– | 1.26 | | -9.61 |
4/10 | H | Colonial Forge | 13- | 2 | 11 | 8 | + | -1.44 | | 3.34 |
4/13 | A | Westfield | 8- | 5 | 3 | -1 | ++ | 1.19 | 4.20 | |
4/19 | H | Centreville | 12- | 9 | 3 | 11 | ––– | -1.19 | -8.30 | |
4/23 | H | Fairfax | 12- | 1 | 11 | 11 | | -1.19 | 0.30 | |
4/27 | A | Herndon | 18- | 7 | 11 | 5 | ++ | 1.19 | 5.59 | |
5/01 | A | Chantilly | 8- | 6 | 2 | 1 | | 1.19 | 1.18 | |
5/03 | H | Georgetown Prep | 3- | 15 | -12 | -6 | ––– | -1.26 | | -6.08 |
5/07 | H | Centreville | 19- | 3 | 16 | 11 | ++ | -1.19 | 4.70 | |
5/09 | H | Westfield | 5- | 9 | -4 | 1 | –– | -1.19 | -5.18 | |
5/15 | A | Hayfield | 11- | 8 | 3 | 1 | | 1.19 | 1.70 | |
5/17 | A | Woodson | 9- | 10 | -1 | 0 | | 1.19 | -0.83 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -20.03 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/20 | A | Landon | 1- | 16 | 5.00 |
3/29 | A | Archbishop Spalding | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
4/10 | H | Colonial Forge | 13- | 2 | -1.00 |
4/23 | H | Fairfax | 12- | 1 | -0.30 |
4/27 | A | Herndon | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
5/03 | H | Georgetown Prep | 3- | 15 | 2.00 |
5/07 | H | Centreville | 19- | 3 | -4.70 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.13 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 305 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.14 | | Natl Power Rank | 305 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 90.05 | | Natl SOS Rank | 138 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.37 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2238 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.53 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1153 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
|
