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Owego Free Academy Indians (11-8)

Region: NY B Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Chris Mahon

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Binghamton (3-17)	NY A Sec 4	82.8		L	8-	10		-0.225
3/31	vs. Bath-Haverling # (0-17)	NY C Sec 5	79.9		W	6-	2		0.100
4/03	at Dryden (2-15)	NY C Sec 4	71.3		W	15-	2		0.000
4/10	at Elmira-Notre Dame (8-8)	NY C Sec 4	82.3		L	6-	7		-0.300
4/20	at Oneonta (0-16)	NY C Sec 4	69.6		W	13-	3		0.000
4/21	JOHNSON CITY (6-11)	NY B Sec 4	80.7		W	7-	4		0.125
4/24	CORNING WEST (14-7)	NY B Sec 4	94.8	3	L	4-	8		-0.100
4/26	MAINE-ENDWELL (3-15)	NY B Sec 4	77.3		W	8-	6		0.100
4/28	at Chenango Valley (13-5)	NY C Sec 4	88.0	8	L	7-	8		-0.225
5/01	CHENANGO FORKS (16-2)	NY B Sec 4	93.9	4	L	7-	9		-0.150
5/03	at Whitney Point (7-13)	NY C Sec 4	80.4		W	11-	5		0.175
5/08	at Johnson City (6-11)	NY B Sec 4	80.7		L	8-	9	ot	-0.325
5/11	SETON CATHOLIC CENTRAL (14-6)	NY B Sec 4	88.4	7	W	10-	9		0.275
5/14	vs. Schenectady # (5-14)	NY A Sec 2	78.1		W	7-	5		0.075
5/15	at Maine-Endwell (3-15)	NY B Sec 4	77.3		W	5-	4		0.125
5/17	at Chenango Forks (16-2)	NY B Sec 4	93.9	4	L	7-	9		-0.100
5/22	WHITNEY POINT (7-13)	NY C Sec 4	80.4		W	12-	5		0.125
5/25	JOHNSON CITY (6-11)	NY B Sec 4	80.7		W	9-	5		0.125
5/30	at Chenango Forks (16-2)	NY B Sec 4	93.9	4	L	7-	10		-0.100
# Neutral site			82.8						-0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Binghamton	8-	10	-2	-1		0.89	-1.46
3/31	N	Bath-Haverling	6-	2	4	6		0.00		-1.55
4/03	A	Dryden	15-	2	13	12		0.89	0.85
4/10	A	Elmira-Notre Dame	6-	7	-1	2	–	0.89	-2.54
4/20	A	Oneonta	13-	3	10	12		0.89	-1.73
4/21	H	Johnson City	7-	4	3	5		-0.89	-1.61
4/24	H	Corning West	4-	8	-4	-6	+	-0.89	2.25
4/26	H	Maine-Endwell	8-	6	2	6	––	-0.89	-4.29
4/28	A	Chenango Valley	7-	8	-1	-1		0.89	0.35
5/01	H	Chenango Forks	7-	9	-2	-4	+	-0.89	2.12
5/03	A	Whitney Point	11-	5	6	3	+	0.89	3.19
5/08	A	Johnson City	8-	9	-1	3	–	0.89	-3.84
5/11	H	Seton Catholic Central	10-	9	1	-1		-0.89	1.64
5/14	N	Schenectady	7-	5	2	7	––	0.00		-5.34
5/15	A	Maine-Endwell	5-	4	1	5	–	0.89	-3.52
5/17	A	Chenango Forks	7-	9	-2	-6	+	0.89	3.90
5/22	H	Whitney Point	12-	5	7	5	+	-0.89	2.41
5/25	H	Johnson City	9-	5	4	5		-0.89	-0.61
5/30	A	Chenango Forks	7-	10	-3	-6	+	0.89	2.90
									0.00	-6.88

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Dryden	15-	2	-0.85
4/20	A	Oneonta	13-	3	1.73
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1075
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.41		Natl Power Rank	1075
Natl SOS Rating	75.47		Natl SOS Rank	1342
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	1852
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	985
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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