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Old Mill Patriots (10-5)

Region: MD 43 East

State: MD

Coach: Steve Spence

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/21	at NorthEast AA (10-6)	MD 32 East	88.4		W	8-	3		0.250
3/23	at Southern AA (7-7)	MD 21 East	86.7		W	12-	9		0.225
3/27	NORTH COUNTY (5-12)	MD 43 South	78.9		W	17-	12		0.000
3/30	ARUNDEL (4-10)	MD 43 East	81.6		W	15-	8		0.100
4/10	at Annapolis (12-5)	MD 43 East	91.1		W	11-	10		0.300
4/14	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (4-12)	MD 21 West	82.0		W	12-	10		0.100
4/14	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (9-6)	MD A MIAA	95.5		L	6-	10		-0.150
4/17	SOUTH RIVER (12-5)	MD 43 East	91.4		W	8-	6		0.275
4/20	GLEN BURNIE (1-11)	MD 43 South	73.6		W	19-	6		0.000
4/24	at Severna Park (18-2)	MD 43 East	96.8	1	L	2-	17		-0.025
4/26	at Meade (0-13)	MD 43 East	72.4		W	12-	4		0.000
4/27	at Winters Mill (19-0)	MD 21 West	95.4	2	L	13-	14		-0.100
5/01	BROADNECK (12-4)	MD 43 East	92.2	9	L	8-	9		-0.200
5/04	CHESAPEAKE-AA (6-10)	MD 43 East	82.3		W	16-	8		0.100
5/12	at Annapolis (12-5)	MD 43 East	91.1		L	7-	10		-0.200
			86.3						0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	NorthEast AA	8-	3	5	0	++	0.72	4.70
3/23	A	Southern AA	12-	9	3	1	+	0.72	2.00
3/27	H	North County	17-	12	5	10	––	-0.72	-4.88
3/30	H	Arundel	15-	8	7	6		-0.72	1.34
4/10	A	Annapolis	11-	10	1	-2	+	0.72	2.89
4/14	H	Francis Scott Key	12-	10	2	6	–	-0.72	-3.58
4/14	H	Mount St Joseph	6-	10	-4	-4		-1.03		0.36
4/17	H	South River	8-	6	2	-1	+	-0.72	2.82
4/20	H	Glen Burnie	19-	6	13	14		-0.72	-0.96
4/24	A	Severna Park	2-	17	-15	-9	––	0.72	-5.98
4/26	A	Meade	12-	4	8	13	––	0.72	-5.13
4/27	A	Winters Mill	13-	14	-1	-6	++	0.72	4.56
5/01	H	Broadneck	8-	9	-1	-2		-0.72	0.90
5/04	H	Chesapeake-AA	16-	8	8	6	+	-0.72	2.43
5/12	A	Annapolis	7-	10	-3	-2		0.72	-1.11
									0.00	0.36

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	H	Glen Burnie	19-	6	0.96
4/24	A	Severna Park	2-	17	5.00
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	680
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.11		Natl Power Rank	680
Natl SOS Rating	82.32		Natl SOS Rank	627
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	426
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	658
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3

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