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OL St Mary's Eaglets (3-13)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Coach: Paul Nemzek

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	SENECA VALLEY (8-9)	PA 1DNORTH	89.6		L	4-	9		-0.125
3/26	at Birmingham-Seaholm (11-10)	MI 1	90.2	9	L	0-	15		0.000
3/29	at De La Salle (11-6)	MI 2	90.2	8	L	3-	12		-0.025
4/03	at Detroit Country Day (12-10)	MI 2	90.1	10	L	4-	8		-0.025
4/12	DETROIT CATHOLIC CENT (13-6)	MI 1	92.9	5	L	3-	13		0.000
4/14	at Plymouth Canton-Salem (9-10)	MI 1	83.9		W	8-	3		0.275
4/19	BROTHER RICE (22-1)	MI 1	98.2	1	L	2-	18		0.000
4/21	CLARKSTON (11-9)	MI 1	83.2		W	4-	3	ot	0.175
4/28	NOTRE DAME PREP (10-8)	MI 2	82.5		L	6-	7	ot	-0.350
5/01	CRANBROOK (14-6)	MI 2	91.9	6	L	4-	11		-0.075
5/03	at Bloomfield Hills (8-8)	MI 1	86.4		L	6-	15		-0.125
5/05	UNIV DETROIT JESUIT (7-15)	MI 1	87.9		L	7-	13		-0.150
5/16	at Farmington Hills (9-12)	MI 1	84.8		L	6-	7	2ot	-0.225
5/17	ANN ARBOR PIONEER (18-3)	MI 1	93.9	4	L	4-	16		0.000
5/19	at Bishop Foley (6-12)	MI 2	81.5		W	15-	2		0.150
5/23	at Flint Powers (16-4)	MI 2	88.7		L	1-	6		-0.125
			86.2						-0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Seneca Valley	4-	9	-5	-5		-1.57		0.43
3/26	A	Birmingham-Seaholm	0-	15	-15	-10	––	1.67	-4.91
3/29	A	De La Salle	3-	12	-9	-9		1.67	-0.07
4/03	A	Detroit Country Day	4-	8	-4	-9	++	1.67	5.00
4/12	H	Detroit Catholic Cent	3-	13	-10	-10		-1.67	-0.07
4/14	A	Plymouth Canton-Salem	8-	3	5	-1	+++	1.67	6.43
4/19	H	Brother Rice	2-	18	-16	-15		-1.67	-0.73
4/21	H	Clarkston	4-	3	1	3	–	-1.67	-2.10
4/28	H	Notre Dame Prep	6-	7	-1	4	––	-1.67	-5.01
5/01	H	Cranbrook	4-	11	-7	-7		-1.67	0.42
5/03	A	Bloomfield Hills	6-	15	-9	-5	––	1.67	-4.48
5/05	H	Univ Detroit Jesuit	7-	13	-6	-4		-1.67	-1.83
5/16	A	Farmington Hills	6-	7	-1	-1		1.67	0.39
5/17	H	Ann Arbor Pioneer	4-	16	-12	-10	–	-1.67	-2.49
5/19	A	Bishop Foley	15-	2	13	4	+++	1.67	9.42
5/23	A	Flint Powers	1-	6	-5	-5		1.67	0.03
									0.00	0.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	A	Birmingham-Seaholm	0-	15	5.00
4/12	H	Detroit Catholic Cent	3-	13	0.00
4/19	H	Brother Rice	2-	18	0.73
5/17	H	Ann Arbor Pioneer	4-	16	2.00
5/19	A	Bishop Foley	15-	2	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1384
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.57		Natl Power Rank	1384
Natl SOS Rating	82.10		Natl SOS Rank	658
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	2336
W-L Pct Rating	0.19		W-L Pct Rank	2253
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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