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Otter Valley Union Otters (2-9)

Region: VT 2 NVAC

State: VT

Coach: Jim Hill

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/10	at Mt Anthony Union (10-6)	VT 1 MVLI	87.7		L	1-	12		0.000
4/24	STRATTON MTN SCHOOL (1-5)	VT 2 NVAC	75.1		W	12-	11	ot	0.250
4/26	at Burr-Burton Academy (15-4)	VT 2 MVLI	90.9	3	L	2-	18		0.000
4/30	at Rutland (6-9)	VT 1 MVLI	82.9		L	3-	13		0.000
5/02	at Green Mtn Valley (3-3)	VT 2 Indep	81.5	8	L	11-	14		-0.075
5/12	at Stratton Mtn School (1-5)	VT 2 NVAC	75.1		L	6-	16		-0.175
5/14	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (1-9)	VT 1 Indep	71.8		W	13-	11		0.150
5/18	at Hartford (8-7)	VT 2 NVAC	83.4	7	L	9-	20		0.000
5/23	BURR-BURTON ACADEMY (15-4)	VT 2 MVLI	90.9	3	L	5-	12		0.000
5/25	HARTFORD (8-7)	VT 2 NVAC	83.4	7	L	6-	17		-0.075
5/30	ST JOHNSBURY (5-11)	VT 2 NVAC	81.0	9	L	5-	11		-0.125
			83.5						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/10	A	Mt Anthony Union	1-	12	-11	-15	+	1.28		3.53
4/24	H	Stratton Mtn School	12-	11	1	0		-1.87	0.61
4/26	A	Burr-Burton Academy	2-	18	-16	-17		1.87	1.05
4/30	A	Rutland	3-	13	-10	-10		1.28		-0.22
5/02	A	Green Mtn Valley	11-	14	-3	-7	+	1.87	3.98
5/12	A	Stratton Mtn School	6-	16	-10	-3	–––	1.87	-6.65
5/14	H	Mount St Joseph	13-	11	2	4		-1.28		-1.89
5/18	A	Hartford	9-	20	-11	-11		1.87	-0.26
5/23	H	Burr-Burton Academy	5-	12	-7	-13	+++	-1.87	6.31
5/25	H	Hartford	6-	17	-11	-7	–	-1.87	-4.00
5/30	H	St Johnsbury	5-	11	-6	-5		-1.87	-1.03
									0.00	1.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Mt Anthony Union	1-	12	-3.53
4/26	A	Burr-Burton Academy	2-	18	-1.05
4/30	A	Rutland	3-	13	0.00
5/12	A	Stratton Mtn School	6-	16	0.00
5/18	A	Hartford	9-	20	0.26
5/25	H	Hartford	6-	17	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2282
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.41		Natl Power Rank	2282
Natl SOS Rating	75.90		Natl SOS Rank	1293
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1394
W-L Pct Rating	0.18		W-L Pct Rank	2276
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0


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