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Palmer Trinity Falcons (11-12)

Region: FL Dist-1

State: FL

Coach: Josh Blumenthal

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/10	vs. Pope John II # (4-12)	FL Dist-3	71.7		W	16-	1		0.125
2/12	at Pines Charter (2-7)	FL Dist-2	69.6		W	10-	4		0.025
2/14	at Miami Country Day (14-5)	FL Dist-2	82.6	5	L	3-	4	ot	-0.225
2/15	at Coral Shores (0-16)	FL Dist-1	59.5		W	16-	1		0.000
2/28	GULLIVER PREP (13-8)	FL Dist-1	89.1	2	L	6-	14		-0.100
3/02	at Vero Beach (5-6)	FL Dist-4	80.4	6	L	6-	7		-0.250
3/03	at Saint Edwards (6-11)	FL Dist-4	72.6	9	W	5-	3		0.175
3/06	RANSOM EVERGLADES (14-4)	FL Dist-1	87.8	3	L	5-	9		-0.150
3/08	CORAL SHORES (0-16)	FL Dist-1	59.5		W	12-	0		0.000
3/10	at Amer Heritage/Plant'n (3-15)	FL Dist-2	65.5		W	15-	1		0.000
3/17	at Cardinal Newman (14-3)	FL Dist-4	83.8	4	L	6-	11		-0.150
3/21	at Pine Crest (9-12)	FL Dist-2	77.3	8	L	5-	11		-0.225
3/23	AMER HERITAGE/PLANT'N (3-15)	FL Dist-2	65.5		W	16-	4		0.000
3/24	OVIEDO (10-8)	FL 5B Centrl	86.6		L	12-	13	ot	-0.050
3/29	PINES CHARTER (2-7)	FL Dist-2	69.6		W	15-	1		0.000
3/31	at Ransom Everglades (14-4)	FL Dist-1	87.8	3	L	6-	12		-0.125
4/03	at Long Island Lutheran (3-15)	NY MLA	77.0		W	7-	3		0.275
4/04	at St Dominic (3-16)	NY Cath	78.5		L	4-	10		-0.200
4/05	at Waldorf (4-5)	NY MLA	81.5		L	4-	7		-0.125
4/09	at North Broward Prep (3-10)	FL Dist-3	66.9		W	14-	6		0.000
4/11	at Saint Andrews (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0	1	L	4-	20		0.000
4/14	WALDORF (4-5)	NY MLA	81.5		W	14-	8		0.325
4/17	vs. Ransom Everglades # (14-4)	FL Dist-1	87.8	3	L	9-	11		-0.125
# Neutral site			80.5						-0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/10	N	Pope John II	16-	1	15	5	+++	0.00	9.56
2/12	A	Pines Charter	10-	4	6	9	–	0.86	-2.73
2/14	A	Miami Country Day	3-	4	-1	-1		0.86	0.00
2/15	A	Coral Shores	16-	1	15	12	+	0.86	2.67
2/28	H	Gulliver Prep	6-	14	-8	-6		-0.86	-1.52
3/02	A	Vero Beach	6-	7	-1	0		0.86	-0.53
3/03	A	Saint Edwards	5-	3	2	3		0.86	-1.16
3/06	H	Ransom Everglades	5-	9	-4	-4		-0.86	-0.24
3/08	H	Coral Shores	12-	0	12	14	–	-0.86	-2.05
3/10	A	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	15-	1	14	11	+	0.86	2.81
3/17	A	Cardinal Newman	6-	11	-5	-4		0.86	-1.21
3/21	A	Pine Crest	5-	11	-6	-1	––	0.86	-5.17
3/23	H	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	16-	4	12	13		-0.86	-0.92
3/24	H	Oviedo	12-	13	-1	-8	+++	-1.23		6.98
3/29	H	Pines Charter	15-	1	14	10	+	-0.86	3.54
3/31	A	Ransom Everglades	6-	12	-6	-5		0.86	-0.52
4/03	A	Long Island Lutheran	7-	3	4	-1	++	1.13		4.65
4/04	A	St Dominic	4-	10	-6	-2	–	1.11		-3.82
4/05	A	Waldorf	4-	7	-3	-5	+	1.13		2.17
4/09	A	North Broward Prep	14-	6	8	11	–	0.86	-2.56
4/11	A	Saint Andrews	4-	20	-16	-13	–	0.86	-2.57
4/14	H	Waldorf	14-	8	6	-3	+++	-1.13		8.92
4/17	N	Ransom Everglades	9-	11	-2	-5	+	0.00	2.62
									0.00	18.90

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/10	N	Pope John II	16-	1	-5.00
2/15	A	Coral Shores	16-	1	-2.67
3/08	H	Coral Shores	12-	0	2.05
3/10	A	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	15-	1	-2.81
3/23	H	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	16-	4	0.92
3/29	H	Pines Charter	15-	1	-3.54
4/11	A	Saint Andrews	4-	20	2.57
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1774
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.44		Natl Power Rank	1774
Natl SOS Rating	71.80		Natl SOS Rank	1725
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	2661
W-L Pct Rating	0.48		W-L Pct Rank	1357
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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