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Paul VI Panthers (7-7)

Region: DC WCAC

State: VA

Coach: Vic Goeller

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	at Georgetown Day (4-9)	DC MAC	77.2		W	13-	3		0.075
3/20	MARET (3-9)	DC MAC	78.3		W	12-	3		0.050
3/22	at Sidwell Friends (10-6)	DC MAC	88.3	10	W	7-	5		0.325
3/29	DEMATHA (14-7)	DC WCAC	93.5	3	L	6-	13		-0.100
3/31	at St Marys Ryken (17-2)	DC WCAC	97.1	1	L	6-	20		0.000
4/02	at Bishop O'Connell (9-10)	DC WCAC	88.4	9	L	8-	14		-0.175
4/04	at T.C. Williams (9-6)	VA Patriot	87.6		W	11-	8		0.325
4/14	GONZAGA (8-11)	DC WCAC	90.2	6	L	5-	8		-0.175
4/18	BISHOP IRETON (11-7)	DC WCAC	88.6	8	L	6-	13		-0.275
4/19	at Archbishop Carroll (1-12)	DC WCAC	71.5		W	21-	1		0.000
4/21	vs. Towson Catholic # (7-9)	MD C MIAA	82.8		W	13-	1		0.150
5/01	ST JOHNS DC (10-8)	DC WCAC	83.6		W	10-	2		0.175
5/02	at Our Lady-Good Counsel (11-8)	DC WCAC	91.3	4	L	1-	12		-0.050
5/08	at DeMatha (14-7)	DC WCAC	93.5	3	L	0-	14		-0.025
# Neutral site			86.1						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	A	Georgetown Day	13-	3	10	7	+	1.48	3.06
3/20	H	Maret	12-	3	9	8		-1.48	0.98
3/22	A	Sidwell Friends	7-	5	2	-3	++	1.48	4.59
3/29	H	DeMatha	6-	13	-7	-6		-1.48	-0.72
3/31	A	St Marys Ryken	6-	20	-14	-13		1.48	-1.11
4/02	A	Bishop O'Connell	8-	14	-6	-3	–	1.48	-3.21
4/04	A	T.C. Williams	11-	8	3	-3	++	1.34		5.56
4/14	H	Gonzaga	5-	8	-3	-3		-1.48	-0.37
4/18	H	Bishop Ireton	6-	13	-7	1	–––	-1.48	-7.55
4/19	A	Archbishop Carroll	21-	1	20	12	+++	1.48	7.56
4/21	N	Towson Catholic	13-	1	12	4	+++	0.00		8.45
5/01	H	St Johns DC	10-	2	8	3	++	-1.48	4.91
5/02	A	Our Lady-Good Counsel	1-	12	-11	-8	–	1.48	-3.38
5/08	A	DeMatha	0-	14	-14	-9	––	1.48	-4.75
									0.00	14.02

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	A	Georgetown Day	13-	3	0.00
3/31	A	St Marys Ryken	6-	20	1.11
4/19	A	Archbishop Carroll	21-	1	-7.56
4/21	N	Towson Catholic	13-	1	-2.00
5/02	A	Our Lady-Good Counsel	1-	12	1.00
5/08	A	DeMatha	0-	14	4.00
10-goal correction: -0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1068
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.37		Natl Power Rank	1068
Natl SOS Rating	82.17		Natl SOS Rank	647
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	769
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1263
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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