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Penfield Patriots (9-8)

Region: NY A Sec 5

State: NY

Coach: Mark Rice

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	IRONDEQUOIT (19-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.8	1	L	1-	12		-0.125
3/31	at Fairport (10-8)	NY A Sec 5	96.1	6	L	8-	9	2ot	-0.175
4/10	BINGHAMTON (3-17)	NY A Sec 4	82.8		W	12-	3		0.000
4/12	TIMON ST JUDE (9-10)	NY P Sec 6	87.0		W	15-	5		0.025
4/14	at Gates-Chili (10-7)	NY A Sec 5	91.0		W	8-	3		0.150
4/21	WEBSTER THOMAS (14-5)	NY A Sec 5	96.0	7	W	9-	7		0.250
4/26	at Webster Schroeder (16-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.7	2	L	3-	13		-0.100
4/28	HILTON (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	92.0		W	11-	8		0.125
5/01	RUSH-HENRIETTA (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	94.9	9	L	9-	10		-0.250
5/03	at Irondequoit (19-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.8	1	L	6-	11		-0.075
5/05	at Brockport Central (10-7)	NY A Sec 5	91.0		W	9-	6		0.125
5/10	FAIRPORT (10-8)	NY A Sec 5	96.1	6	L	9-	13		-0.225
5/12	at Pittsford (5-10)	NY A Sec 5	93.4		W	8-	7		0.275
5/15	WEBSTER SCHROEDER (16-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.7	2	L	10-	11		-0.150
5/17	at Rush-Henrietta (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	94.9	9	W	9-	8		0.300
5/22	HILTON (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	92.0		W	13-	2		0.125
5/25	at Webster Schroeder (16-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.7	2	L	4-	13		-0.100
			93.1						0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Irondequoit	1-	12	-11	-5	–––	-1.12	-6.45
3/31	A	Fairport	8-	9	-1	-3	+	1.12	2.35
4/10	H	Binghamton	12-	3	9	13	–	-1.00		-3.70
4/12	H	Timon St Jude	15-	5	10	9		-1.26		1.22
4/14	A	Gates-Chili	8-	3	5	4		1.12	0.98
4/21	H	Webster Thomas	9-	7	2	0	+	-1.12	2.15
4/26	A	Webster Schroeder	3-	13	-10	-6	–	1.12	-3.65
4/28	H	Hilton	11-	8	3	5	–	-1.12	-2.11
5/01	H	Rush-Henrietta	9-	10	-1	0		-1.12	-1.46
5/03	A	Irondequoit	6-	11	-5	-7		1.12	1.79
5/05	A	Brockport Central	9-	6	3	5		1.12	-1.78
5/10	H	Fairport	9-	13	-4	-1	–	-1.12	-2.89
5/12	A	Pittsford	8-	7	1	-1		1.12	1.92
5/15	H	Webster Schroeder	10-	11	-1	-4	+	-1.12	3.11
5/17	A	Rush-Henrietta	9-	8	1	-2	+	1.12	2.78
5/22	H	Hilton	13-	2	11	5	++	-1.12	5.89
5/25	A	Webster Schroeder	4-	13	-9	-6	–	1.12	-2.65
									0.00	-2.48

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Irondequoit	1-	12	1.00
4/12	H	Timon St Jude	15-	5	0.00
4/26	A	Webster Schroeder	3-	13	0.00
5/22	H	Hilton	13-	2	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	177
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.52		Natl Power Rank	177
Natl SOS Rating	96.52		Natl SOS Rank	18
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	970
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1176
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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