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Penn Manor Comets (10-9)

Region: PA LL04

State: PA

Coach: Chris Snyder

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	vs. Palmyra # (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	10-	9		0.250
3/24	at Conrad Weiser (13-8)	PA PVLL-BC	83.7		W	18-	5		0.325
3/27	at Conestoga Valley (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	L	14-	15	2ot	-0.125
3/30	at Hempfield (18-6)	PA LL04	92.1	2	L	7-	16		0.000
4/03	HERSHEY (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	L	7-	11		-0.225
4/05	at Lampeter-Strasburg (14-8)	PA LL04	83.2	10	W	8-	7		0.350
4/06	at Central Dauphin East (4-12)	PA Mid 1	75.2		L	7-	12		-0.350
4/07	at Governor Mifflin (7-8)	PA PVLL-BC	82.0		W	12-	2		0.300
4/07	at Wyomissing (3-11)	PA PVLL-BC	80.4		W	9-	2		0.250
4/10	COCALICO (15-5)	PA LL04	85.1	7	L	5-	11		-0.275
4/12	WARWICK (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	L	6-	12		-0.150
4/14	SOUTH-WESTERN (10-8)	PA York 1	80.4		W	10-	5		0.225
4/17	at Red Lion (8-10)	PA York 1	78.7		W	13-	8		0.225
4/20	MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (26-1)	PA LL04	95.8	1	L	5-	15		0.000
4/23	at Elizabethtown (1-12)	PA LL04	72.5		W	12-	3		0.100
4/26	at Ephrata (7-12)	PA LL04	78.7		L	11-	12		-0.275
5/01	LANCASTER COU DAY (1-15)	PA LL04	72.5		W	18-	4		0.050
5/08	EPHRATA (7-12)	PA LL04	78.7		W	12-	10		0.125
5/10	LAMPETER-STRASBURG (14-8)	PA LL04	83.2	10	L	9-	15		-0.225
# Neutral site			81.6						0.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	Palmyra	10-	9	1	0		0.00	1.38
3/24	A	Conrad Weiser	18-	5	13	-3	+++	1.42		16.47
3/27	A	Conestoga Valley	14-	15	-1	-5	+	1.55	3.93
3/30	A	Hempfield	7-	16	-9	-11	+	1.55	2.16
4/03	H	Hershey	7-	11	-4	-1	–	-1.55	-3.27
4/05	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	8-	7	1	-4	++	1.55	4.63
4/06	A	Central Dauphin East	7-	12	-5	4	–––	1.55	-8.84
4/07	A	Governor Mifflin	12-	2	10	-2	+++	1.42		11.76
4/07	A	Wyomissing	9-	2	7	0	+++	1.42		7.24
4/10	H	Cocalico	5-	11	-6	1	–––	-1.55	-7.47
4/12	H	Warwick	6-	12	-6	-4		-1.55	-1.51
4/14	H	South-Western	10-	5	5	1	++	-1.55	4.24
4/17	A	Red Lion	13-	8	5	1	++	1.55	4.06
4/20	H	Manheim Township	5-	15	-10	-12		-1.55	1.65
4/23	A	Elizabethtown	12-	3	9	6	+	1.55	3.15
4/26	A	Ephrata	11-	12	-1	1	–	1.55	-2.50
5/01	H	Lancaster Cou Day	18-	4	14	8	+++	-1.55	6.45
5/08	H	Ephrata	12-	10	2	5	–	-1.55	-2.59
5/10	H	Lampeter-Strasburg	9-	15	-6	-1	––	-1.55	-5.46
									0.00	35.46

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	A	Conrad Weiser	18-	5	0.00
4/07	A	Governor Mifflin	12-	2	0.00
4/20	H	Manheim Township	5-	15	-1.65
5/01	H	Lancaster Cou Day	18-	4	-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1521
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.63		Natl Power Rank	1521
Natl SOS Rating	73.59		Natl SOS Rank	1537
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	468
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1216
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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