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Pickerington Tigers (17-4)

Region: OH 4 North

State: OH

Coach: Mike Lord

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	CINCINNATI SYCAMORE (8-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	88.7		W	12-	11		0.150
3/29	at New Albany (15-5)	OH 2 Reg 3	89.6		W	14-	6		0.225
4/13	vs. Central Catholic # (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	93.0		W	5-	4	ot	0.275
4/14	vs. Cathedral # (8-8)	IN ICC	85.6		W	14-	6		0.100
4/17	at Westerville South (7-11)	OH 1 Reg 2	88.2		L	7-	9		-0.300
4/20	at Sylvania (17-6)	OH 4 North	90.1	2	W	10-	2		0.200
4/21	at Perrysburg (6-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	81.3		W	12-	3		0.025
4/21	at St Francis de Sales (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.8		W	15-	2		0.100
4/28	at Watterson (11-4)	OH 2 Reg 3	90.4		L	9-	10	ot	-0.250
4/30	at Hilliard Davidson (0-15)	OH 1 Reg 2	83.9		W	14-	6		0.075
5/02	at Columbus De Sales (2-10)	OH 2 Reg 3	76.8		W	16-	5		0.000
5/05	JOHNSTOWN (3-9)	OH 2 Reg 3	73.8		W	16-	2		0.000
5/09	WESTERVILLE CENTRAL (8-8)	OH 1 Reg 2	86.0		W	15-	2		0.100
5/10	at Columbus St Charles (12-5)	OH 1 Reg 2	93.4		L	11-	15		-0.175
5/12	HILLIARD DARBY (2-15)	OH 1 Reg 1	84.7		W	9-	2		0.050
5/14	at Wellington School (5-8)	OH 2 Reg 3	81.6		W	14-	6		0.025
5/16	at Olentangy HS (11-6)	OH 1 Reg 1	90.8		W	16-	9		0.250
5/18	LIBERTY-OLENTANGY (8-9)	OH 1 Reg 2	89.8		W	19-	8		0.175
5/23	BIG WALNUT (0-2)	OH 4 North	79.1		W	23-	2		0.000
5/26	ST EDWARD/EAGLE (12-4)	OH 4 North	86.8	4	W	19-	11		0.075
5/30	at Sylvania (17-6)	OH 4 North	90.1	2	L	6-	12		-0.300
# Neutral site			85.0						0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Cincinnati Sycamore	12-	11	1	4	–	-0.89		-2.73
3/29	A	New Albany	14-	6	8	1	+++	1.30		7.44
4/13	N	Central Catholic	5-	4	1	-1	+	0.00		2.47
4/14	N	Cathedral	14-	6	8	6	+	0.00		2.08
4/17	A	Westerville South	7-	9	-2	2	––	0.89		-4.40
4/20	A	Sylvania	10-	2	8	2	+++	0.91	6.24
4/21	A	Perrysburg	12-	3	9	9		1.30		0.12
4/21	A	St Francis de Sales	15-	2	13	6	+++	1.30		6.56
4/28	A	Watterson	9-	10	-1	0		1.30		-0.79
4/30	A	Hilliard Davidson	14-	6	8	7		0.89		1.24
5/02	A	Columbus De Sales	16-	5	11	13	–	1.30		-2.36
5/05	H	Johnstown	16-	2	14	19	––	-1.30		-4.98
5/09	H	Westerville Central	15-	2	13	6	+++	-0.89		6.60
5/10	A	Columbus St Charles	11-	15	-4	-3		0.89		-1.20
5/12	H	Hilliard Darby	9-	2	7	8		-0.89		-0.69
5/14	A	Wellington School	14-	6	8	9		1.30		-0.63
5/16	A	Olentangy HS	16-	9	7	0	+++	0.89		7.19
5/18	H	Liberty-Olentangy	19-	8	11	3	+++	-0.89		8.39
5/23	H	Big Walnut	23-	2	21	20		-0.91	0.67
5/26	H	St Edward/Eagle	19-	11	8	7		-0.91	0.84
5/30	A	Sylvania	6-	12	-6	2	–––	0.91	-7.76
									0.00	24.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/21	A	St Francis de Sales	15-	2	-3.00
5/02	A	Columbus De Sales	16-	5	2.36
5/05	H	Johnstown	16-	2	4.98
5/09	H	Westerville Central	15-	2	-3.00
5/18	H	Liberty-Olentangy	19-	8	-1.00
5/23	H	Big Walnut	23-	2	-0.67
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	466
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.50		Natl Power Rank	466
Natl SOS Rating	79.60		Natl SOS Rank	936
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	182
W-L Pct Rating	0.81		W-L Pct Rank	247
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	3.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.7


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