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Pine Bush Bushmen (17-2)

Region: NY A Sec 9State: NYCoach: Marc Brennan

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/11at Washingtonville (0-17)NY A Sec 964.6W17- 1 0.000  
4/13at Wallkill (6-11)NY B Sec 973.09W10- 4 0.050  
4/14at Clarkstown North (1-15)NY A Sec 177.8W15- 4 0.000  
4/17MONROE-WOODBURY (5-12)NY A Sec 973.010W10- 1 0.000  
4/19at Kingston (12-7)NY A Sec 983.64W11- 2 0.275  
4/24NEWBURGH FREE ACADEMY (4-12)NY A Sec 971.2W11- 3 0.000  
4/26RED HOOK (4-12)NY C Sec 969.0W16- 2 0.000  
5/01at O'Neill (15-4)NY C Sec 988.12L5-11 -0.225  
5/03at Monroe-Woodbury (5-12)NY A Sec 973.010W11- 1 0.025  
5/08VALLEY CENTRAL (11-8)NY A Sec 980.95W18-10 0.100  
5/10KINGSTON (12-7)NY A Sec 983.64W11- 4 0.150  
5/15J.S. BURKE CATHOLIC (2-13)NY C Sec 964.5W17- 4 0.000  
5/17at Newburgh Free Academy (4-12)NY A Sec 971.2W13- 2 0.000  
5/19at Warwick Valley (12-6)NY A Sec 980.56W17- 2 0.175  
5/22MINISINK VALLEY (15-5)NY A Sec 985.73W9- 8 0.125  
5/23ROOSEVELT HYDE PARK (9-10)NY A Sec 975.78W14- 4 0.000  
5/29VALLEY CENTRAL (11-8)NY A Sec 980.95W13- 3 0.100  
5/31vs. Minisink Valley # (15-5)NY A Sec 985.73W11- 7 0.175  
6/02vs. Yorktown # (12-10)NY A Sec 194.7L8-18 -0.150  
# Neutral site 82.7     0.80  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/11AWashingtonville17-116   15       2.21       0.73
4/13AWallkill10-46   8       –2.21       -2.32
4/14AClarkstown North15-411   11       1.69       -0.48
4/17HMonroe-Woodbury10-19   14       ––-2.21       -4.57
4/19AKingston11-29   -1       +++2.21       9.79
4/24HNewburgh Free Academy11-38   15       –––-2.21       -7.12
4/26HRed Hook16-214   16       -2.21       -1.57
5/01AO'Neill5-11-6   -1       ––2.21       -4.88
5/03AMonroe-Woodbury11-110   9       2.21       0.85
5/08HValley Central18-108   6       -2.21       1.81
5/10HKingston11-47   4       +-2.21       3.37
5/15HJ.S. Burke Catholic17-413   21       –––-2.21       -7.53
5/17ANewburgh Free Academy13-211   11       2.21       0.29
5/19AWarwick Valley17-215   3       +++2.21       11.73
5/22HMinisink Valley9-81   5       –-2.21       -3.95
5/23HRoosevelt Hyde Park14-410   12       -2.21       -1.68
5/29HValley Central13-310   6       +-2.21       3.81
5/31NMinisink Valley11-74   3       0.00       1.26
6/02NYorktown8-18-10   -4       –––0.00       -6.35
         0.00-6.83

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/11AWashingtonville17-1-0.73
4/14AClarkstown North15-40.48
4/26HRed Hook16-21.57
5/03AMonroe-Woodbury11-10.00
5/15HJ.S. Burke Catholic17-47.53
5/17ANewburgh Free Academy13-2-0.29
5/19AWarwick Valley17-2-5.00
5/23HRoosevelt Hyde Park14-41.68
5/29HValley Central13-30.00
6/02NYorktown8-180.00
10-goal correction: 0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 524
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.00   Natl Power Rank 524
Natl SOS Rating 75.34   Natl SOS Rank 1350
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.80   Natl Quality Win Rank 362
W-L Pct Rating 0.89   W-L Pct Rank 82
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 17-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 6-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 4.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 11-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 16-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 8.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3

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