| Region: MN MSHSL-L | State: MN | Coach: Brant Chapulsky |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/16 | at Minnetonka (10-4) | MN MSHSL-C | 91.8 | 6 | L | 7- | 12 | | -0.125 |
4/17 | at Rosemount (0-13) | MN MSHSL-3 | 78.1 | | W | 11- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/19 | CHASKA (2-11) | MN MSHSL-L | 84.9 | | W | 6- | 3 | | 0.100 |
4/23 | LAKEVILLE (6-8) | MN MSHSL-L | 87.4 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.175 |
4/24 | at Eastview (10-7) | MN MSHSL-L | 90.4 | 10 | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.175 |
4/26 | EAGAN (8-6) | MN MSHSL-L | 89.4 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.200 |
4/30 | SHATTUCK-ST MARY'S (0-11) | MN MSHSL-C | 78.5 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | EDEN PRAIRIE (15-2) | MN MSHSL-L | 93.5 | 2 | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.150 |
5/03 | at Apple Valley (4-8) | MN MSHSL-L | 87.2 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.225 |
5/08 | BLOOM JEFFERSON (8-6) | MN MSHSL-L | 90.3 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.250 |
5/10 | at Bloom Kennedy (2-11) | MN MSHSL-L | 82.7 | | W | 9- | 2 | | 0.100 |
5/14 | SHATTUCK-ST MARY'S (0-11) | MN MSHSL-C | 78.5 | | W | 23- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/16 | LAKEVILLE (6-8) | MN MSHSL-L | 87.4 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.175 |
5/18 | vs. Eastview # (10-7) | MN MSHSL-L | 90.4 | 10 | L | 2- | 14 | | -0.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 85.4 | | | | | | 0.58 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/16 | A | Minnetonka | 7- | 12 | -5 | -5 | | 1.24 | -0.30 | |
4/17 | A | Rosemount | 11- | 1 | 10 | 10 | | 1.24 | -0.34 | |
4/19 | H | Chaska | 6- | 3 | 3 | 6 | – | -1.24 | -2.80 | |
4/23 | H | Lakeville | 8- | 6 | 2 | 3 | | -1.24 | -0.73 | |
4/24 | A | Eastview | 7- | 8 | -1 | -3 | + | 1.24 | 2.19 | |
4/26 | H | Eagan | 8- | 7 | 1 | 2 | | -1.24 | -0.59 | |
4/30 | H | Shattuck-St Mary's | 9- | 5 | 4 | 14 | ––– | -1.24 | -9.85 | |
5/01 | H | Eden Prairie | 7- | 10 | -3 | -4 | | -1.24 | 1.11 | |
5/03 | A | Apple Valley | 11- | 5 | 6 | 1 | ++ | 1.24 | 5.32 | |
5/08 | H | Bloom Jefferson | 9- | 5 | 4 | 0 | ++ | -1.24 | 4.29 | |
5/10 | A | Bloom Kennedy | 9- | 2 | 7 | 6 | | 1.24 | 1.33 | |
5/14 | H | Shattuck-St Mary's | 23- | 0 | 23 | 14 | +++ | -1.24 | 9.15 | |
5/16 | H | Lakeville | 9- | 5 | 4 | 3 | | -1.24 | 1.27 | |
5/18 | N | Eastview | 2- | 14 | -12 | -2 | ––– | 0.00 | 10.06 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/17 | A | Rosemount | 11- | 1 | 0.34 |
5/14 | H | Shattuck-St Mary's | 23- | 0 | -9.15 |
5/18 | N | Eastview | 2- | 14 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.49 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 90. | | Natl CCR Rank | 657 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 89.90 | | Natl Power Rank | 657 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 80.57 | | Natl SOS Rank | 831 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.58 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 515 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.71 | | W-L Pct Rank | 521 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.0 |
| 
