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Portage Central Mustangs (14-2)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Coach: Daniel Mills

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Howell (1-17)	MI 1	74.5		W	12-	2		0.000
4/13	HOLLAND CHRISTIAN (9-9)	MI 2	83.0		W	11-	4		0.150
4/14	at Caledonia (7-8)	MI 4 Club	76.5		W	12-	2		0.000
4/16	at Portage Northern (3-10)	MI 2	76.1		W	16-	5		0.000
4/19	KALAMAZOO CENTRAL (3-13)	MI 2	72.0		W	12-	0		0.000
4/21	at Rockford (12-6)	MI 1	89.5		L	6-	7		-0.125
4/24	at Mattawan (6-10)	MI 2	82.6		W	10-	9		0.200
4/25	FOREST HILLS EASTERN (14-5)	MI 2	87.9		W	10-	6		0.250
4/27	PORTAGE NORTHERN (3-10)	MI 2	76.1		W	16-	4		0.000
5/01	MATTAWAN (6-10)	MI 2	82.6		W	9-	4		0.125
5/03	at Holland HS (9-6)	MI 4 Club	80.8		W	12-	11		0.100
5/07	at Kalamazoo Central (3-13)	MI 2	72.0		W	15-	0		0.000
5/14	CALEDONIA (7-8)	MI 4 Club	76.5		W	10-	3		0.000
5/16	MATTAWAN (6-10)	MI 2	82.6		W	7-	6		0.125
5/24	ZEELAND (8-9)	MI 2	83.7		W	10-	9		0.150
5/30	vs. Forest Hills Central # (13-8)	MI 2	89.9		L	4-	8		-0.125
# Neutral site			77.9						0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Howell	12-	2	10	11		1.67	-0.91
4/13	H	Holland Christian	11-	4	7	4	+	-1.67	3.17
4/14	A	Caledonia	12-	2	10	10		1.29		-0.05
4/16	A	Portage Northern	16-	5	11	11		1.67	-0.16
4/19	H	Kalamazoo Central	12-	0	12	16	––	-1.67	-4.01
4/21	A	Rockford	6-	7	-1	-5	++	1.67	4.10
4/24	A	Mattawan	10-	9	1	2		1.67	-0.58
4/25	H	Forest Hills Eastern	10-	6	4	0	++	-1.67	4.43
4/27	H	Portage Northern	16-	4	12	15	–	-1.67	-2.50
5/01	H	Mattawan	9-	4	5	5		-1.67	0.07
5/03	A	Holland HS	12-	11	1	6	––	1.29		-4.81
5/07	A	Kalamazoo Central	15-	0	15	13	+	1.67	2.34
5/14	H	Caledonia	10-	3	7	13	––	-1.29		-5.63
5/16	H	Mattawan	7-	6	1	5	–	-1.67	-3.93
5/24	H	Zeeland	10-	9	1	4	–	-1.67	-2.84
5/30	N	Forest Hills Central	4-	8	-4	-5		0.00	0.82
									0.00	-10.49

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Howell	12-	2	0.91
4/14	A	Caledonia	12-	2	0.05
4/16	A	Portage Northern	16-	5	0.16
4/19	H	Kalamazoo Central	12-	0	4.01
4/27	H	Portage Northern	16-	4	2.50
5/07	A	Kalamazoo Central	15-	0	-2.34
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	867
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.84		Natl Power Rank	867
Natl SOS Rating	66.72		Natl SOS Rank	2154
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	335
W-L Pct Rating	0.88		W-L Pct Rank	105
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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