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2009
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2005

Charlotte Providence Panthers (20-4)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: William Humphrey

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Providence's Scroggins Commits to Hobart College

Providence High School (NC) senior Konner Scroggins has committed to Hobart College. Konner is the third player from their 2009 North Carolina 4A state championship team to commit to a Division I school. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/27	at Charlotte Butler (3-13)	NC 4A	72.8		W	20-	2		0.000
3/03	at Charlotte Latin (11-7)	NC Prvate	93.7		W	11-	10	ot	0.300
3/06	at Ardrey Kell (3-12)	NC 4A	72.9		W	15-	3		0.000
3/08	at Charlotte South Meck (3-14)	NC 4A	72.9		W	18-	3		0.000
3/09	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (6-9)	NC 4A	80.9		W	22-	3		0.000
3/12	PROVIDENCE DAY (21-3)	NC Prvate	95.6		L	7-	10		-0.200
3/16	at Charlotte Catholic (18-6)	NC 3A/2A	91.6	6	W	8-	7		0.225
3/23	at Charlotte Myers Park (10-9)	NC 4A	82.1		W	14-	3		0.050
3/24	WILMINGTON HOGGARD (15-6)	NC 4A	88.2	10	W	15-	7		0.125
3/26	CHARLOTTE SOUTH MECK (3-14)	NC 4A	72.9		W	18-	3		0.000
3/28	MOUNT TABOR (9-9)	NC 4A	83.3		W	14-	5		0.050
4/10	CHARLOTTE MYERS PARK (10-9)	NC 4A	82.1		W	14-	6		0.000
4/12	at Charlotte Cou Day (19-6)	NC Prvate	94.2		L	11-	13		-0.175
4/17	at Charlotte North Meck (10-8)	NC CHSCLC	88.2		W	12-	4		0.175
4/19	CHARLOTTE CATHOLIC (18-6)	NC 3A/2A	91.6	6	W	13-	10		0.200
4/24	ARDREY KELL (3-12)	NC 4A	72.9		W	17-	2		0.000
4/26	WEDDINGTON (10-9)	NC 4A	84.5		W	16-	2		0.025
4/28	vs. Charlotte Cou Day # (19-6)	NC Prvate	94.2		L	5-	15		-0.225
4/30	CHARLOTTE BUTLER (3-13)	NC 4A	72.8		W	18-	0		0.000
5/04	at Weddington (10-9)	NC 4A	84.5		W	14-	11		0.075
5/08	MOUNT TABOR (9-9)	NC 4A	83.3		W	13-	5		0.050
5/11	DURHAM RIVERSIDE (11-8)	NC 4A	88.0		W	12-	11		0.150
5/16	APEX (15-5)	NC 4A	92.8	3	W	10-	9		0.250
5/19	at Chapel Hill (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	6-	16		-0.175
# Neutral site			86.0						0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Charlotte Butler	20-	2	18	17		0.74	1.44
3/03	A	Charlotte Latin	11-	10	1	-2	+	1.20		3.12
3/06	A	Ardrey Kell	15-	3	12	15	–	0.74	-3.36
3/08	A	Charlotte South Meck	18-	3	15	16		0.74	-0.70
3/09	H	NorthWest Guilford	22-	3	19	11	+++	-0.74	8.49
3/12	H	Providence Day	7-	10	-3	-2		-1.20		-1.44
3/16	A	Charlotte Catholic	8-	7	1	1		0.74	0.25
3/23	A	Charlotte Myers Park	14-	3	11	8	+	0.74	2.73
3/24	H	Wilmington Hoggard	15-	7	8	5	+	-0.74	2.75
3/26	H	Charlotte South Meck	18-	3	15	17	–	-0.74	-2.17
3/28	H	Mount Tabor	14-	5	9	8		-0.74	0.69
4/10	H	Charlotte Myers Park	14-	6	8	10		-0.74	-1.74
4/12	A	Charlotte Cou Day	11-	13	-2	-3		1.20		0.65
4/17	A	Charlotte North Meck	12-	4	8	3	++	1.87		5.33
4/19	H	Charlotte Catholic	13-	10	3	2		-0.74	0.77
4/24	H	Ardrey Kell	17-	2	15	17		-0.74	-1.83
4/26	H	Weddington	16-	2	14	9	++	-0.74	5.40
4/28	N	Charlotte Cou Day	5-	15	-10	-1	–––	0.00		-8.55
4/30	H	Charlotte Butler	18-	0	18	18		-0.74	-0.04
5/04	A	Weddington	14-	11	3	7	––	0.74	-4.12
5/08	H	Mount Tabor	13-	5	8	8		-0.74	-0.31
5/11	H	Durham Riverside	12-	11	1	4	–	-0.74	-2.52
5/16	H	Apex	10-	9	1	0		-0.74	1.06
5/19	A	Chapel Hill	6-	16	-10	-3	–––	0.74	-6.80
									0.00	-0.89

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/27	A	Charlotte Butler	20-	2	-1.44
3/06	A	Ardrey Kell	15-	3	3.36
3/08	A	Charlotte South Meck	18-	3	0.70
3/09	H	NorthWest Guilford	22-	3	-8.49
3/23	A	Charlotte Myers Park	14-	3	-1.00
3/26	H	Charlotte South Meck	18-	3	2.17
4/24	H	Ardrey Kell	17-	2	1.83
4/26	H	Weddington	16-	2	-4.00
4/28	N	Charlotte Cou Day	5-	15	0.00
4/30	H	Charlotte Butler	18-	0	0.04
5/19	A	Chapel Hill	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.	Natl CCR Rank	327
Natl Poll Vote	n/a	Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.79	Natl Power Rank	327
Natl SOS Rating	81.77	Natl SOS Rank	696
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.90	Natl Quality Win Rank	342
W-L Pct Rating	0.83	W-L Pct Rank	181
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	20-4	Ave Goal diff (all )	6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-1	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7