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Potomac Falls Panthers (7-6)

Region: VA Dulles

State: VA

Coach: Jeremy Beck

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	PARK VIEW (0-12)	VA Dulles	66.4		W	12-	1		0.000
3/15	DOMINION HS (7-9)	VA Dulles	76.7		W	7-	4		0.150
3/21	at Stone Bridge (4-9)	VA Liberty	82.1		L	7-	9		-0.125
3/22	LIBERTY-BEALETON (3-11)	VA NoWest	75.2		W	17-	2		0.100
3/26	at Loudoun County (10-4)	VA Dulles	81.6	5	L	8-	9		-0.125
3/29	at Broad Run (15-2)	VA Dulles	85.3	2	L	5-	12		0.000
4/09	BRIAR WOODS (5-10)	VA Dulles	76.0		W	12-	5		0.125
4/12	at George Mason (6-7)	VA Dulles	77.9	10	W	7-	6		0.300
4/19	HERITAGE-LEESBURG (15-3)	VA Dulles	84.4	3	L	7-	15		-0.150
4/24	LOUDOUN VALLEY (9-8)	VA Dulles	80.8	6	L	4-	10		-0.200
4/26	at Park View (0-12)	VA Dulles	66.4		W	10-	6		0.050
4/30	at Dominion HS (7-9)	VA Dulles	76.7		W	10-	9	ot	0.225
5/03	FREEDOM-SOUTH RIDING (2-12)	VA Dulles	72.3			-
5/10	DOMINION HS (7-9)	VA Dulles	76.7		L	6-	7		-0.350
			77.0						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	Park View	12-	1	11	12		-1.92	-1.20
3/15	H	Dominion HS	7-	4	3	4		-1.92	-1.36
3/21	A	Stone Bridge	7-	9	-2	-5	+	1.56		3.32
3/22	H	Liberty-Bealeton	17-	2	15	6	+++	-1.92	8.56
3/26	A	Loudoun County	8-	9	-1	-5	++	1.92	4.09
3/29	A	Broad Run	5-	12	-7	-10	+	1.92	2.94
4/09	H	Briar Woods	12-	5	7	5		-1.92	1.85
4/12	A	George Mason	7-	6	1	-2	+	1.92	2.67
4/19	H	Heritage-Leesburg	7-	15	-8	-4	–	-1.92	-3.89
4/24	H	Loudoun Valley	4-	10	-6	-2	––	-1.92	-4.43
4/26	A	Park View	10-	6	4	8	––	1.92	-4.35
4/30	A	Dominion HS	10-	9	1	1		1.92	0.48
5/10	H	Dominion HS	6-	7	-1	4	––	-1.92	-5.36
									0.00	3.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	H	Park View	12-	1	1.20
3/22	H	Liberty-Bealeton	17-	2	-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1831
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.33		Natl Power Rank	1831
Natl SOS Rating	65.02		Natl SOS Rank	2251
Natl Quality Win Rating	n/a		Natl Quality Win Rank	n/a
W-L Pct Rating	0.54		W-L Pct Rank	1129
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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