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Ransom Everglades Raiders (14-4)

Region: FL Dist-1

State: FL

Coach: Roy Kelly

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/13	CORAL SHORES (0-16)	FL Dist-1	59.5		W	17-	0		0.000
2/16	at Pope John II (4-12)	FL Dist-3	71.7		W	13-	2		0.025
2/20	at Amer Heritage/Plant'n (3-15)	FL Dist-2	65.5		W	16-	1		0.000
2/24	GULLIVER PREP (13-8)	FL Dist-1	89.1	2	L	4-	10		-0.200
2/27	at Miami Country Day (14-5)	FL Dist-2	82.6	5	W	13-	7		0.150
3/03	AMER HERITAGE/PLANT'N (3-15)	FL Dist-2	65.5		W	18-	3		0.000
3/06	at Palmer Trinity (11-12)	FL Dist-1	77.4	7	W	9-	5		0.150
3/09	at Pine Crest (9-12)	FL Dist-2	77.3	8	W	13-	7		0.150
3/14	at Coral Shores (0-16)	FL Dist-1	59.5		W	13-	3		0.000
3/17	at Saint Edwards (6-11)	FL Dist-4	72.6	9	W	14-	2		0.050
3/20	MIAMI COUNTRY DAY (14-5)	FL Dist-2	82.6	5	W	12-	8		0.125
3/31	PALMER TRINITY (11-12)	FL Dist-1	77.4	7	W	12-	6		0.125
4/07	vs. Lake Highland Prep # (13-5)	FL 7B Centrl	91.3		L	5-	10		-0.150
4/13	SAINT ANDREWS (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0	1	L	4-	13		-0.075
4/17	vs. Palmer Trinity # (11-12)	FL Dist-1	77.4	7	W	11-	9		0.125
4/19	vs. Gulliver Prep # (13-8)	FL Dist-1	89.1	2	W	10-	7		0.325
4/21	vs. Vero Beach # (5-6)	FL Dist-4	80.4	6	W	15-	1		0.125
4/27	vs. Saint Andrews # (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0	1	L	5-	17		-0.050
# Neutral site			82.6						0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/13	H	Coral Shores	17-	0	17	19		-0.86	-1.67
2/16	A	Pope John II	13-	2	11	9		0.86	1.80
2/20	A	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	16-	1	15	16		0.86	-0.81
2/24	H	Gulliver Prep	4-	10	-6	-2	––	-0.86	-4.14
2/27	A	Miami Country Day	13-	7	6	4	+	0.86	2.37
3/03	H	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	18-	3	15	18	–	-0.86	-2.54
3/06	A	Palmer Trinity	9-	5	4	4		0.86	0.24
3/09	A	Pine Crest	13-	7	6	4	+	0.86	2.21
3/14	A	Coral Shores	13-	3	10	17	–––	0.86	-6.95
3/17	A	Saint Edwards	14-	2	12	8	++	0.86	4.22
3/20	H	Miami Country Day	12-	8	4	5		-0.86	-1.35
3/31	H	Palmer Trinity	12-	6	6	5		-0.86	0.52
4/07	N	Lake Highland Prep	5-	10	-5	-4		0.00		-1.49
4/13	H	Saint Andrews	4-	13	-9	-7		-0.86	-1.92
4/17	N	Palmer Trinity	11-	9	2	5	–	0.00	-2.62
4/19	N	Gulliver Prep	10-	7	3	-3	++	0.00	5.72
4/21	N	Vero Beach	15-	1	14	5	+++	0.00	8.99
4/27	N	Saint Andrews	5-	17	-12	-8	––	0.00	-4.06
									0.00	-1.49

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/13	H	Coral Shores	17-	0	1.67
2/16	A	Pope John II	13-	2	-1.00
2/20	A	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	16-	1	0.81
3/03	H	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	18-	3	2.54
3/14	A	Coral Shores	13-	3	6.95
3/17	A	Saint Edwards	14-	2	-2.00
4/21	N	Vero Beach	15-	1	-4.00
4/27	N	Saint Andrews	5-	17	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	947
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.78		Natl Power Rank	947
Natl SOS Rating	76.03		Natl SOS Rank	1279
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	321
W-L Pct Rating	0.78		W-L Pct Rank	312
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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