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Rome Free Academy Black Knights (7-11)

Conference: Indep

Region: NY A Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Guy Calandra

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	FULTON (2-16)	NY B Sec 3	86.0		L	6-	12		-0.225
3/28	CHRISTIAN BROS (14-6)	NY A Sec 2	90.4		L	8-	9		-0.125
3/31	LOWVILLE (6-12)	NY C Sec 3	87.0		L	7-	10		-0.225
4/04	CLINTON (8-11)	NY C Sec 3	78.3		W	17-	5		0.075
4/05	GUILDERLAND (16-5)	NY A Sec 2	96.0		L	4-	15		0.000
4/07	INDIAN RIVER (5-12)	NY B Sec 3	82.2		W	14-	10		0.150
4/10	SCOTIA-GLENVILLE (5-11)	NY B Sec 2	76.1		W	12-	5		0.025
4/12	at Whitesboro (8-11)	NY B Sec 3	91.7		L	3-	10		0.000
4/14	CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)	NY A Sec 3	89.8		L	3-	13		-0.100
4/25	HAMILTON CENTRAL (5-11)	NY C Sec 3	76.8		W	19-	6		0.025
4/30	at Central Square (6-12)	NY A Sec 3	89.8		L	9-	15		-0.025
5/02	at Clinton (8-11)	NY C Sec 3	78.3		W	8-	5		0.150
5/07	HENNINGER (5-13)	NY A Sec 3	89.4		L	6-	15		-0.125
5/09	NOTRE DAME UTICA (0-7)	NY C Sec 3	67.3		W	16-	3		0.000
5/11	at Hamilton Central (5-11)	NY C Sec 3	76.8		W	17-	9		0.100
5/14	CHITTENANGO (8-11)	NY C Sec 3	90.1		L	4-	5		-0.125
5/17	at Auburn (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	92.9		L	5-	16		0.000
5/19	NEW HARTFORD (10-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.3		L	3-	16		0.000
			80.3						-0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Fulton	6-	12	-6	-1	––	-1.48	-4.95
3/28	H	Christian Bros	8-	9	-1	-5	+	-0.94		3.99
3/31	H	Lowville	7-	10	-3	-1		-1.48	-1.63
4/04	H	Clinton	17-	5	12	7	++	-1.48	4.91
4/05	H	Guilderland	4-	15	-11	-11		-0.94		-0.38
4/07	H	Indian River	14-	10	4	4		-1.48	-0.32
4/10	H	Scotia-Glenville	12-	5	7	9	–	-0.94		-2.28
4/12	A	Whitesboro	3-	10	-7	-11	+	1.48	3.63
4/14	H	Central Square	3-	13	-10	-6	––	-1.48	-4.45
4/25	H	Hamilton Central	19-	6	13	9	++	-1.48	4.49
4/30	A	Central Square	9-	15	-6	-9	+	1.48	2.51
5/02	A	Clinton	8-	5	3	4		1.48	-1.12
5/07	H	Henninger	6-	15	-9	-5	––	-1.48	-4.45
5/09	H	Notre Dame Utica	16-	3	13	15		-1.48	-1.84
5/11	A	Hamilton Central	17-	9	8	6	+	1.48	2.46
5/14	H	Chittenango	4-	5	-1	-5	+	-1.48	3.53
5/17	A	Auburn	5-	16	-11	-11		1.48	0.49
5/19	H	New Hartford	3-	16	-13	-10	–	-1.48	-3.25
									0.00	1.33

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	H	Clinton	17-	5	-2.00
4/05	H	Guilderland	4-	15	0.38
4/14	H	Central Square	3-	13	0.00
4/25	H	Hamilton Central	19-	6	-3.00
5/09	H	Notre Dame Utica	16-	3	1.84
5/17	A	Auburn	5-	16	-0.49
5/19	H	New Hartford	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1220
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.44		Natl Power Rank	1220
Natl SOS Rating	71.14		Natl SOS Rank	1797
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	2131
W-L Pct Rating	0.39		W-L Pct Rank	1693
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.3


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