| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Justin Fitzgeral |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/21 | LAKE BRADDOCK (4-11) | VA Patriot | 85.9 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/23 | at Woodson (14-6) | VA Liberty | 93.1 | 3 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.175 |
3/26 | at Oakton (8-7) | VA Concord | 92.1 | 6 | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.200 |
3/29 | WESTFIELD (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | W | 11- | 10 | ot | 0.150 |
4/13 | at Centreville (4-9) | VA Concord | 83.8 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | at Dulaney (14-5) | MD 43 South | 93.1 | | W | 12- | 11 | | 0.200 |
4/19 | HERNDON (5-7) | VA Concord | 87.6 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/23 | CHANTILLY (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.100 |
4/27 | at Fairfax (3-9) | VA Concord | 84.2 | | W | 17- | 10 | | 0.000 |
4/30 | LANDON (15-5) | DC IAC | 97.5 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.250 |
5/05 | at Gonzaga (8-11) | DC WCAC | 90.2 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.375 |
5/09 | CHANTILLY (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.100 |
5/11 | at Westfield (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.200 |
5/15 | LAKE BRADDOCK (4-11) | VA Patriot | 85.9 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/17 | MADISON (11-6) | VA Liberty | 91.0 | 9 | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.075 |
5/21 | vs. Chantilly # (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.125 |
5/23 | vs. Westfield # (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.175 |
5/29 | CULPEPER HS (17-2) | VA Cedar | 87.0 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/31 | WESTERN ALBEMARLE (13-5) | VA Jeffsn | 88.2 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.000 |
6/02 | at Westfield (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | W | 11- | 3 | | 1.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 90.1 | | | | | | 2.08 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/21 | H | Lake Braddock | 14- | 2 | 12 | 11 | | -1.19 | 0.82 | |
3/23 | A | Woodson | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | | 1.19 | -1.66 | |
3/26 | A | Oakton | 10- | 5 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.19 | 3.36 | |
3/29 | H | Westfield | 11- | 10 | 1 | 4 | – | -1.19 | -3.01 | |
4/13 | A | Centreville | 12- | 7 | 5 | 12 | ––– | 1.19 | -6.75 | |
4/14 | A | Dulaney | 12- | 11 | 1 | 2 | | 0.96 | | -1.37 |
4/19 | H | Herndon | 16- | 5 | 11 | 11 | | -1.19 | 0.38 | |
4/23 | H | Chantilly | 13- | 8 | 5 | 6 | | -1.19 | -1.03 | |
4/27 | A | Fairfax | 17- | 10 | 7 | 11 | –– | 1.19 | -4.15 | |
4/30 | H | Landon | 5- | 9 | -4 | 0 | –– | -1.26 | | -4.22 |
5/05 | A | Gonzaga | 7- | 8 | -1 | 5 | –– | 1.34 | | -5.91 |
5/09 | H | Chantilly | 9- | 5 | 4 | 6 | – | -1.19 | -2.03 | |
5/11 | A | Westfield | 9- | 4 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.19 | 3.37 | |
5/15 | H | Lake Braddock | 12- | 3 | 9 | 11 | – | -1.19 | -2.18 | |
5/17 | H | Madison | 15- | 8 | 7 | 7 | | -1.19 | 0.17 | |
5/21 | N | Chantilly | 16- | 9 | 7 | 5 | + | 0.00 | 2.16 | |
5/23 | N | Westfield | 15- | 8 | 7 | 3 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.18 | |
5/29 | H | Culpeper HS | 15- | 2 | 13 | 11 | + | -1.44 | | 2.16 |
5/31 | H | Western Albemarle | 9- | 6 | 3 | 10 | ––– | -1.56 | | -6.76 |
6/02 | A | Westfield | 11- | 3 | 8 | 2 | +++ | 1.19 | 6.37 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -16.10 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/21 | H | Lake Braddock | 14- | 2 | -0.82 |
4/19 | H | Herndon | 16- | 5 | -0.38 |
5/29 | H | Culpeper HS | 15- | 2 | -2.16 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.17 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 96. | | Natl CCR Rank | 97 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 96.45 | | Natl Power Rank | 95 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 89.06 | | Natl SOS Rank | 185 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 2.08 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 44 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.90 | | W-L Pct Rank | 73 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 5-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 10-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 15-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 8.0 |
|
