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Rocky River Pirates (7-11)

Region: OH 2 Reg 1

State: OH

Coach: Chris LaVogue

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	MASSILLON-JACKSON (8-5)	OH 1 Reg 3	89.3		L	3-	15		0.000
3/31	WEST GEAUGA (4-13)	OH 2 Reg 1	70.3		W	15-	4		0.025
4/03	GILMOUR ACADEMY (12-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.8	8	L	6-	8		-0.200
4/20	at Archbishop Hoban (3-10)	OH 2 Reg 2	79.8		L	5-	12		-0.125
4/21	CLEVELAND BENEDICTINE (3-10)	OH 2 Reg 2	71.6		W	13-	4		0.050
4/23	CHAGRIN FALLS (5-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.0		W	8-	6		0.200
4/25	at Bay Village (4-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	70.3		W	18-	2		0.050
4/26	at University School (10-8)	OH 2 Reg 1	88.1	4	L	3-	15		0.000
4/28	ST EDWARD/EAGLE (12-4)	OH 4 North	87.1		L	8-	19		-0.050
5/01	at Revere (9-8)	OH 2 Reg 2	79.6		L	2-	7		-0.200
5/04	at Perrysburg (6-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	81.3		L	9-	13		-0.175
5/08	WESTLAKE (7-10)	OH 2 Reg 1	76.5		W	15-	11		0.150
5/09	MENTOR (2-13)	OH 1 Reg 3	75.6		W	12-	4		0.175
5/10	HAWKEN SCHOOL (12-11)	OH 2 Reg 2	85.8	7	L	6-	14		-0.075
5/15	at Green-Akron (11-8)	OH 2 Reg 2	82.0		L	10-	11		-0.175
5/19	ST FRANCIS DE SALES (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.8	10	L	9-	13		-0.175
5/21	CHAGRIN FALLS (5-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.0		W	9-	7		0.200
5/24	at University School (10-8)	OH 2 Reg 1	88.1	4	L	1-	17		0.000
			81.9						-0.33

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Massillon-Jackson	3-	15	-12	-10		-1.28		-1.51
3/31	H	West Geauga	15-	4	11	9		-1.68	1.68
4/03	H	Gilmour Academy	6-	8	-2	-2		-1.68	0.22
4/20	A	Archbishop Hoban	5-	12	-7	-5		1.68	-1.87
4/21	H	Cleveland Benedictine	13-	4	9	8		-1.68	1.29
4/23	H	Chagrin Falls	8-	6	2	2		-1.68	0.23
4/25	A	Bay Village	18-	2	16	8	+++	1.68	7.52
4/26	A	University School	3-	15	-12	-12		1.68	0.10
4/28	H	St Edward/Eagle	8-	19	-11	-8	–	-1.30		-2.73
5/01	A	Revere	2-	7	-5	-2	–	1.68	-3.39
5/04	A	Perrysburg	9-	13	-4	-3		1.68	-0.86
5/08	H	Westlake	15-	11	4	4		-1.68	-0.05
5/09	H	Mentor	12-	4	8	3	++	-1.28		4.83
5/10	H	Hawken School	6-	14	-8	-7		-1.68	-1.47
5/15	A	Green-Akron	10-	11	-1	-3		1.68	1.76
5/19	H	St Francis de Sales	9-	13	-4	-3		-1.68	-1.47
5/21	H	Chagrin Falls	9-	7	2	2		-1.68	0.23
5/24	A	University School	1-	17	-16	-12	–	1.68	-3.90
									0.00	0.59

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Massillon-Jackson	3-	15	2.00
3/31	H	West Geauga	15-	4	-1.00
4/25	A	Bay Village	18-	2	-6.00
4/26	A	University School	3-	15	-0.10
4/28	H	St Edward/Eagle	8-	19	1.00
5/24	A	University School	1-	17	3.90
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	1944
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.54		Natl Power Rank	1944
Natl SOS Rating	74.31		Natl SOS Rank	1461
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.33		Natl Quality Win Rank	1839
W-L Pct Rating	0.39		W-L Pct Rank	1695
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.0


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