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Rutland Red Raiders (6-9)

Region: VT 1 MVLI

State: VT

Coach: Mike Rowe

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/18	at Middlebury Union (9-8)	VT 1 NVAC	88.4	6	L	1-	15		-0.050
4/20	BELLOWS FREE ACADEMY (7-5)	VT 1 NVAC	89.2	4	L	2-	8		-0.100
4/24	MT ANTHONY UNION (10-6)	VT 1 MVLI	87.7	7	L	3-	14		-0.150
4/26	at Essex Junction (13-5)	VT 1 NVAC	93.2	1	L	4-	8		-0.025
4/28	WOODSTOCK (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0	2	L	2-	13		-0.075
4/30	OTTER VALLEY UNION (2-9)	VT 2 NVAC	73.6		W	13-	3		0.000
5/02	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (1-9)	VT 1 Indep	71.8		W	13-	2		0.025
5/04	BURR-BURTON ACADEMY (15-4)	VT 2 MVLI	90.9		W	10-	6		0.425
5/07	at Hartford (8-7)	VT 2 NVAC	83.5		W	13-	10		0.300
5/11	at Woodstock (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0	2	L	1-	10		-0.025
5/14	BRATTLEBORO (0-11)	VT 1 MVLI	70.0		W	16-	5		0.000
5/18	at Mt Anthony Union (10-6)	VT 1 MVLI	87.7	7	L	5-	6	ot	-0.125
5/21	at Champlain Valley (9-5)	VT 1 NVAC	91.2	3	L	3-	9		-0.025
5/30	at Spaulding (6-8)	VT 1 NVAC	80.9	10	W	11-	3		0.175
6/01	at Woodstock (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0	2	L	4-	15		-0.025
			87.3						0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/18	A	Middlebury Union	1-	15	-14	-8	–––	0.69	-6.41
4/20	H	Bellows Free Academy	2-	8	-6	-6		-0.69	0.36
4/24	H	Mt Anthony Union	3-	14	-11	-4	–––	-0.69	-7.04
4/26	A	Essex Junction	4-	8	-4	-9	++	0.69	5.15
4/28	H	Woodstock	2-	13	-11	-7	–	-0.69	-3.74
4/30	H	Otter Valley Union	13-	3	10	11		-1.28		-0.57
5/02	H	Mount St Joseph	13-	2	11	9		-0.69	1.73
5/04	H	Burr-Burton Academy	10-	6	4	-7	+++	-1.28		10.77
5/07	A	Hartford	13-	10	3	-2	++	1.28		4.91
5/11	A	Woodstock	1-	10	-9	-9		0.69	-0.35
5/14	H	Brattleboro	16-	5	11	11		-0.69	0.08
5/18	A	Mt Anthony Union	5-	6	-1	-5	++	0.69	4.34
5/21	A	Champlain Valley	3-	9	-6	-9	+	0.69	2.81
5/30	A	Spaulding	11-	3	8	3	++	0.69	5.42
6/01	A	Woodstock	4-	15	-11	-9	–	0.69	-2.35
									0.00	15.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	A	Middlebury Union	1-	15	4.00
4/24	H	Mt Anthony Union	3-	14	1.00
4/28	H	Woodstock	2-	13	1.00
4/30	H	Otter Valley Union	13-	3	0.57
5/02	H	Mount St Joseph	13-	2	-1.00
5/14	H	Brattleboro	16-	5	-0.08
6/01	A	Woodstock	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1413
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.90		Natl Power Rank	1413
Natl SOS Rating	83.96		Natl SOS Rank	480
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	845
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1677
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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