| Region: AZ Div-1 | State: AZ | Coach: Steve Noel |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/07 | A | Mountain Pointe | 7- | 8 | -1 | -2 | | 1.03 | 1.12 | |
2/10 | A | Tucson | 6- | 12 | -6 | -3 | – | 1.03 | -3.16 | |
2/27 | H | Brophy Prep | 5- | 13 | -8 | -6 | – | -1.03 | -2.09 | |
3/02 | H | Highland | 12- | 6 | 6 | 5 | | -1.03 | 0.83 | |
3/06 | H | Phoenix Country Day | 17- | 3 | 14 | 8 | ++ | -1.03 | 5.54 | |
3/15 | H | Scottsdale Christian | 17- | 2 | 15 | 19 | –– | -1.03 | -4.47 | |
3/20 | H | Desert Mountain | 9- | 15 | -6 | -1 | –– | -1.03 | -5.45 | |
3/27 | H | Gilbert | 9- | 8 | 1 | 2 | | -1.03 | -0.59 | |
3/29 | A | Desert Vista | 11- | 10 | 1 | -3 | + | 1.03 | 3.93 | |
4/02 | A | Chandler | 10- | 13 | -3 | 0 | – | 1.03 | -2.92 | |
4/03 | H | Dublin Jerome | 2- | 15 | -13 | -9 | –– | -0.95 | | -4.30 |
4/11 | A | Notre Dame Prep | 18- | 9 | 9 | 8 | | 1.03 | 1.24 | |
4/13 | H | Chaparral | 9- | 4 | 5 | -1 | +++ | -1.03 | 6.02 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -4.30 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/06 | H | Phoenix Country Day | 17- | 3 | -4.00 |
3/15 | H | Scottsdale Christian | 17- | 2 | 4.47 |
4/03 | H | Dublin Jerome | 2- | 15 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.27 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 896 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.56 | | Natl Power Rank | 896 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.21 | | Natl SOS Rank | 641 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1232 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.54 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1111 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
| 
