| Region: NY C Sec 6 | State: NY | Coach: Meredith Fries |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/28 | JAMESTOWN (2-14) | NY A Sec 6 | 72.1 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.000 |
4/16 | at Gowanda (7-13) | NY C Sec 6 | 79.3 | | L | 11- | 14 | | -0.250 |
4/20 | SILVER CREEK (1-13) | NY C Sec 6 | 71.2 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Eden (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.7 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.300 |
4/26 | AKRON (10-9) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.5 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.250 |
4/27 | GOWANDA (7-13) | NY C Sec 6 | 79.3 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.175 |
4/30 | at Medina (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.2 | | W | 9- | 8 | ot | 0.300 |
5/01 | at East Aurora (18-3) | NY C Sec 6 | 90.9 | 6 | L | 2- | 17 | | -0.050 |
5/04 | EDEN (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.7 | | W | 14- | 13 | | 0.250 |
5/08 | EAST AURORA (18-3) | NY C Sec 6 | 90.9 | 6 | L | 7- | 14 | | -0.125 |
5/10 | at Silver Creek (1-13) | NY C Sec 6 | 71.2 | | W | 18- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | at Akron (10-9) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.5 | | W | 13- | 12 | | 0.325 |
5/17 | at Lake Shore Central (0-15) | NY B Sec 6 | 74.0 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.125 |
5/18 | MEDINA (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.2 | | L | 5- | 11 | | -0.250 |
5/30 | EDEN (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.7 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.250 |
6/01 | vs. East Aurora # (18-3) | NY C Sec 6 | 90.9 | 6 | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.100 |
| # Neutral site | | 81.5 | | | | | | 1.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/28 | H | Jamestown | 17- | 7 | 10 | 10 | | -1.39 | -0.40 | |
4/16 | A | Gowanda | 11- | 14 | -3 | 0 | – | 1.39 | -3.23 | |
4/20 | H | Silver Creek | 16- | 5 | 11 | 13 | | -1.39 | -1.78 | |
4/24 | A | Eden | 10- | 9 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.39 | 3.39 | |
4/26 | H | Akron | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | -1.39 | 1.15 | |
4/27 | H | Gowanda | 11- | 9 | 2 | 3 | | -1.39 | -1.01 | |
4/30 | A | Medina | 9- | 8 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.39 | 3.38 | |
5/01 | A | East Aurora | 2- | 17 | -15 | -8 | ––– | 1.39 | -7.23 | |
5/04 | H | Eden | 14- | 13 | 1 | 0 | | -1.39 | 0.61 | |
5/08 | H | East Aurora | 7- | 14 | -7 | -5 | – | -1.39 | -2.01 | |
5/10 | A | Silver Creek | 18- | 6 | 12 | 10 | + | 1.39 | 2.00 | |
5/15 | A | Akron | 13- | 12 | 1 | -3 | + | 1.39 | 3.93 | |
5/17 | A | Lake Shore Central | 15- | 4 | 11 | 5 | ++ | 1.39 | 5.59 | |
5/18 | H | Medina | 5- | 11 | -6 | 0 | ––– | -1.39 | -6.40 | |
5/30 | H | Eden | 11- | 10 | 1 | 0 | | -1.39 | 0.61 | |
6/01 | N | East Aurora | 4- | 9 | -5 | -6 | | 0.00 | 1.38 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/28 | H | Jamestown | 17- | 7 | 0.40 |
4/20 | H | Silver Creek | 16- | 5 | 1.78 |
5/01 | A | East Aurora | 2- | 17 | 5.00 |
5/10 | A | Silver Creek | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
5/17 | A | Lake Shore Central | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.26 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 83. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1516 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 83.85 | | Natl Power Rank | 1516 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 72.47 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1646 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 166 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.69 | | W-L Pct Rank | 601 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.3 |
|
