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Salem Spartans (11-5)

Region: VA Indep

State: VA

Coach: David Turk

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	NEW RIVER VALLEY (4-12)	VA Indep	75.7		W	13-	1		0.000
3/17	STS PETER & PAUL (13-6)	MD B MIAA	87.4		L	4-	6		-0.200
3/21	E.C. GLASS (8-6)	VA WesVal	80.1		W	12-	2		0.100
3/26	WESTERN ALBEMARLE (13-5)	VA Jeffsn	88.2	1	L	4-	11		-0.225
4/02	at E.C. Glass (8-6)	VA WesVal	80.1		W	9-	7		0.200
4/16	ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (8-7)	VA Valley	79.5	7	W	14-	3		0.075
4/18	PATRICK HENRY (9-6)	VA WesVal	83.9		W	13-	6		0.200
4/21	at Monticello (5-10)	VA Jeffsn	78.9	8	W	12-	6		0.175
4/24	at New River Valley (4-12)	VA Indep	75.7		W	12-	2		0.000
4/27	at Rockbridge County (8-7)	VA Valley	79.5	7	W	9-	8		0.175
5/01	at Patrick Henry (9-6)	VA WesVal	83.9		L	9-	14		-0.200
5/10	vs. Charlottesville # (1-10)	VA Jeffsn	75.7		W	22-	5		0.000
5/16	ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (8-7)	VA Valley	79.5	7	W	10-	6		0.075
5/19	at Broad Run (15-2)	VA Dulles	85.3	2	W	8-	7		0.325
5/24	at Western Albemarle (13-5)	VA Jeffsn	88.2	1	L	2-	13		-0.125
5/29	at Westfield (15-6)	VA Concord	93.8		L	11-	15		0.000
# Neutral site			81.7						0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	H	New River Valley	13-	1	12	14		-1.92	-1.69
3/17	H	Sts Peter & Paul	4-	6	-2	-2		-1.68		-0.16
3/21	H	E.C. Glass	12-	2	10	6	++	-1.81		4.39
3/26	H	Western Albemarle	4-	11	-7	-1	––	-1.92	-5.58
4/02	A	E.C. Glass	9-	7	2	2		1.81		0.01
4/16	H	Rockbridge County	14-	3	11	7	++	-1.92	4.07
4/18	H	Patrick Henry	13-	6	7	2	++	-1.81		5.23
4/21	A	Monticello	12-	6	6	3	+	1.92	2.59
4/24	A	New River Valley	12-	2	10	10		1.92	0.16
4/27	A	Rockbridge County	9-	8	1	3	–	1.92	-2.08
5/01	A	Patrick Henry	9-	14	-5	-2	–	1.81		-3.15
5/10	N	Charlottesville	22-	5	17	10	+++	0.00	6.78
5/16	H	Rockbridge County	10-	6	4	7	–	-1.92	-2.93
5/19	A	Broad Run	8-	7	1	-3	++	1.92	4.42
5/24	A	Western Albemarle	2-	13	-11	-5	––	1.92	-5.74
5/29	A	Westfield	11-	15	-4	-11	+++	1.56		7.49
									0.00	13.81

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	H	New River Valley	13-	1	1.69
3/21	H	E.C. Glass	12-	2	0.00
4/16	H	Rockbridge County	14-	3	-1.00
4/24	A	New River Valley	12-	2	-0.16
5/10	N	Charlottesville	22-	5	-6.78
5/24	A	Western Albemarle	2-	13	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1269
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.88		Natl Power Rank	1269
Natl SOS Rating	74.02		Natl SOS Rank	1485
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	651
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	608
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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