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Saratoga Spgs Blue Streaks (10-10)

Region: NY A Sec 2

State: NY

Coach: Jon Coons

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	vs. Suffern # (10-9)	NY A Sec 1	92.6		W	8-	7		0.325
4/06	vs. Shaker # (9-11)	NY A Sec 2	88.9	8	L	9-	12		-0.225
4/09	at Burnt Hills (2-18)	NY B Sec 2	74.7		W	20-	2		0.000
4/11	at Niskayuna (17-4)	NY A Sec 2	98.0	1	L	6-	12		-0.050
4/13	GUILDERLAND (16-5)	NY A Sec 2	96.0	2	L	5-	11		-0.150
4/19	at Shenendehowa (9-10)	NY A Sec 2	90.4	5	W	8-	5		0.300
4/21	SCHENECTADY (5-14)	NY A Sec 2	78.1		W	13-	9		0.050
4/24	LASALLE INSTITUTE (8-10)	NY A Sec 2	81.4		W	11-	6		0.050
4/26	at Colonie (10-8)	NY A Sec 2	88.5	9	L	9-	11		-0.300
4/28	at Kingston (12-7)	NY A Sec 9	86.8		W	11-	6		0.225
5/01	at Shaker (9-11)	NY A Sec 2	88.9	8	W	19-	13		0.275
5/04	at Christian Bros (14-6)	NY A Sec 2	90.4	6	L	9-	12		-0.250
5/05	NISKAYUNA (17-4)	NY A Sec 2	98.0	1	L	4-	15		-0.075
5/08	BALLSTON SPA (6-11)	NY A Sec 2	85.0		W	17-	7		0.200
5/10	at Columbia (15-5)	NY A Sec 2	92.1	3	L	10-	12		-0.225
5/14	BETHLEHEM (13-7)	NY A Sec 2	91.0	4	W	16-	14		0.225
5/17	SHENENDEHOWA (9-10)	NY A Sec 2	90.4	5	L	12-	13		-0.225
5/18	at Guilderland (16-5)	NY A Sec 2	96.0	2	L	4-	13		-0.125
5/22	QUEENSBURY (13-6)	NY A Sec 2	87.1	10	W	11-	5		0.125
5/25	at Guilderland (16-5)	NY A Sec 2	96.0	2	L	9-	17		-0.125
# Neutral site			90.0						0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	N	Suffern	8-	7	1	-3	++	0.00		4.15
4/06	N	Shaker	9-	12	-3	-1	–	0.00	-2.30
4/09	A	Burnt Hills	20-	2	18	12	+++	0.40	6.41
4/11	A	Niskayuna	6-	12	-6	-8		0.40	1.99
4/13	H	Guilderland	5-	11	-6	-4		-0.40	-1.76
4/19	A	Shenendehowa	8-	5	3	-2	++	0.40	4.64
4/21	H	Schenectady	13-	9	4	8	––	-0.40	-4.42
4/24	H	LaSalle Institute	11-	6	5	8	–	-0.40	-2.61
4/26	A	Colonie	9-	11	-2	2	––	0.40	-4.01
4/28	A	Kingston	11-	6	5	1	+	1.30		3.60
5/01	A	Shaker	19-	13	6	-1	+++	0.40	7.10
5/04	A	Christian Bros	9-	12	-3	0	–	0.40	-3.11
5/05	H	Niskayuna	4-	15	-11	-7	–	-0.40	-3.81
5/08	H	Ballston Spa	17-	7	10	2	+++	-0.40	7.62
5/10	A	Columbia	10-	12	-2	-1		0.40	-1.20
5/14	H	Bethlehem	16-	14	2	1		-0.40	1.35
5/17	H	Shenendehowa	12-	13	-1	-1		-0.40	-0.17
5/18	A	Guilderland	4-	13	-9	-5	–	0.40	-3.96
5/22	H	Queensbury	11-	5	6	5		-0.40	1.19
5/25	A	Guilderland	9-	17	-8	-5	–	0.40	-2.96
									0.00	7.75

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Burnt Hills	20-	2	-6.41
5/05	H	Niskayuna	4-	15	1.00
5/08	H	Ballston Spa	17-	7	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	731
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.47		Natl Power Rank	731
Natl SOS Rating	89.61		Natl SOS Rank	161
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	1207
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1297
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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