| Region: OH 2 Reg 4 | State: OH | Coach: Doug McKinney |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/24 | MILFORD (16-6) | OH 4 South | 86.5 | | L | 3- | 12 | | 0.000 |
3/28 | at Mariemont (14-4) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 93.0 | 1 | L | 1- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/05 | LOVELAND (12-7) | OH 4 South | 85.6 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.025 |
4/12 | SEVEN HILLS (4-10) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 75.6 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.200 |
4/14 | at Wellington School (5-8) | OH 2 Reg 3 | 81.6 | | L | 2- | 9 | | -0.075 |
4/17 | at Anderson (17-4) | OH 4 South | 85.9 | | L | 3- | 13 | | 0.000 |
4/20 | at Lakota West (10-7) | OH 1 Reg 4 | 90.7 | | L | 4- | 11 | | 0.000 |
4/26 | FENWICK (7-6) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 81.2 | | L | 3- | 8 | | -0.250 |
5/03 | at Cincinnati Sycamore (8-10) | OH 1 Reg 4 | 88.7 | | L | 7- | 12 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | CINCINNATI COU DAY (13-9) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 86.3 | 5 | L | 9- | 18 | | -0.075 |
5/10 | KINGS (3-10) | OH 1 Reg 4 | 81.6 | | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.125 |
5/12 | TURPIN (10-7) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 83.1 | | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.200 |
5/15 | at Wilmington (1-15) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 62.9 | | W | 17- | 1 | | 0.025 |
5/18 | GRANVILLE (9-7) | OH 2 Reg 3 | 83.8 | 9 | L | 7- | 15 | | -0.100 |
5/21 | at Turpin (10-7) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 83.1 | | L | 8- | 13 | | -0.125 |
| | 83.3 | | | | | | -0.75 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/24 | H | Milford | 3- | 12 | -9 | -10 | | -1.30 | | 1.26 |
3/28 | A | Mariemont | 1- | 16 | -15 | -15 | | 1.68 | 0.40 | |
4/05 | H | Loveland | 6- | 7 | -1 | -9 | +++ | -1.30 | | 8.42 |
4/12 | H | Seven Hills | 13- | 7 | 6 | 2 | + | -1.68 | 3.85 | |
4/14 | A | Wellington School | 2- | 9 | -7 | -7 | | 1.68 | 0.42 | |
4/17 | A | Anderson | 3- | 13 | -10 | -12 | + | 1.30 | | 2.29 |
4/20 | A | Lakota West | 4- | 11 | -7 | -17 | +++ | 1.28 | | 10.10 |
4/26 | H | Fenwick | 3- | 8 | -5 | 0 | –– | -1.68 | -4.74 | |
5/03 | A | Cincinnati Sycamore | 7- | 12 | -5 | -15 | +++ | 1.28 | | 10.01 |
5/05 | H | Cincinnati Cou Day | 9- | 18 | -9 | -7 | | -1.68 | -1.99 | |
5/10 | H | Kings | 8- | 11 | -3 | -5 | + | -1.28 | | 2.42 |
5/12 | H | Turpin | 6- | 12 | -6 | -2 | –– | -1.68 | -4.01 | |
5/15 | A | Wilmington | 17- | 1 | 16 | 9 | +++ | 1.68 | 7.23 | |
5/18 | H | Granville | 7- | 15 | -8 | -6 | | -1.68 | -1.51 | |
5/21 | A | Turpin | 8- | 13 | -5 | -5 | | 1.68 | 0.36 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 34.51 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/28 | A | Mariemont | 1- | 16 | -0.40 |
4/17 | A | Anderson | 3- | 13 | -2.29 |
5/15 | A | Wilmington | 17- | 1 | -6.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.58 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 76. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2085 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 74.93 | | Natl Power Rank | 2085 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.55 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1230 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.75 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2485 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.13 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2391 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 2-13 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
| 
