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Schenectady Patriots (5-14)

Region: NY A Sec 2State: NYCoach: Dave Trahan

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/31vs. Columbia # (15-5)NY A Sec 292.13L6-15 -0.050  
4/05at Glens Falls (14-7)NY B Sec 285.3L7- 9 -0.175  
4/09QUEENSBURY (13-6)NY A Sec 287.110L6-14 -0.175  
4/11LASALLE INSTITUTE (8-10)NY A Sec 281.4L6- 7 -0.250  
4/13BETHLEHEM (13-7)NY A Sec 291.04L7-16 -0.075  
4/17vs. Christian Bros # (14-6)NY A Sec 290.46L7-19 -0.075  
4/19at Troy (1-16)NY A Sec 269.2W16- 0 0.000  
4/21at Saratoga Spgs (10-10)NY A Sec 289.57L9-13 -0.050  
4/24at Amsterdam (2-17)NY B Sec 269.8W19- 5 0.000  
4/28SHAKER (9-11)NY A Sec 288.98L9-19 -0.050  
4/30COLONIE (10-8)NY A Sec 288.59L9-10 -0.125  
5/02at LaSalle Institute (8-10)NY A Sec 281.4L3- 8 -0.225  
5/07AMSTERDAM (2-17)NY B Sec 269.8W16- 4 0.000  
5/09at Christian Bros (14-6)NY A Sec 290.46L8-16 -0.050  
5/11TROY (1-16)NY A Sec 269.2W18- 4 0.000  
5/12at South Glens Falls (12-6)NY B Sec 282.8W14-11 0.275  
5/14vs. Owego Free Academy # (11-8)NY B Sec 486.3L5- 7 -0.050  
5/17at Ballston Spa (6-11)NY A Sec 285.0L1-18 -0.100  
5/22at Shenendehowa (9-10)NY A Sec 290.45L8-11 0.000  
# Neutral site 84.0     -1.17  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/31NColumbia6-15-9   -8       0.00       -0.58
4/05AGlens Falls7-9-2   -3       0.40       0.81
4/09HQueensbury6-14-8   -3       ––-0.40       -4.79
4/11HLaSalle Institute6-7-1   0       -0.40       -0.60
4/13HBethlehem7-16-9   -7       -0.40       -1.64
4/17NChristian Bros7-19-12   -7       ––0.00       -4.50
4/19ATroy16-016   11       ++0.40       4.64
4/21ASaratoga Spgs9-13-4   -8       ++0.40       4.42
4/24AAmsterdam19-514   12       +0.40       2.28
4/28HShaker9-19-10   -8       -0.40       -1.68
4/30HColonie9-10-1   -5       ++-0.40       4.20
5/02ALaSalle Institute3-8-5   -1       0.40       -3.80
5/07HAmsterdam16-412   13       -0.40       -0.52
5/09AChristian Bros8-16-8   -8       0.40       -0.10
5/11HTroy18-414   12       -0.40       1.84
5/12ASouth Glens Falls14-113   -1       +0.40       3.94
5/14NOwego Free Academy5-7-2   -8       +++0.00       6.27
5/17ABallston Spa1-18-17   -6       –––0.40       10.56
5/22AShenendehowa8-11-3   -10       +++0.40       6.65
         0.006.27

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/17NChristian Bros7-192.00
4/19ATroy16-0-4.64
4/24AAmsterdam19-5-2.28
4/28HShaker9-190.00
5/07HAmsterdam16-40.52
5/11HTroy18-4-1.84
5/17ABallston Spa1-187.00
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 79.   Natl CCR Rank 1837
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.07   Natl Power Rank 1837
Natl SOS Rating 78.09   Natl SOS Rank 1082
Natl Quality Win Rating -1.17   Natl Quality Win Rank 2686
W-L Pct Rating 0.26   W-L Pct Rank 2089
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-14   Ave Goal diff (all ) -1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-9   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-13   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -7.3



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