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South County Stallions (7-5)

Region: VA Patriot

State: VA

Coach: Dave Baggetta

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/13	J.E.B. STUART (4-8)	VA Nationl	79.1		W	15-	3		0.000
3/15	at Wakefield HS (0-13)	VA Nationl	67.9		W	15-	0		0.000
3/19	WASHINGTON-LEE (4-10)	VA Nationl	78.9		W	18-	0		0.000
3/23	at Edison (6-10)	VA Nationl	82.7		W	14-	3		0.075
3/27	at Hayfield (14-2)	VA Patriot	93.1	4	L	5-	10		-0.175
4/09	at Annandale (8-6)	VA Patriot	89.2		W	9-	3		0.275
4/18	at Robert E Lee (1-10)	VA Patriot	75.9		W	16-	2		0.000
4/21	T.C. WILLIAMS (9-6)	VA Patriot	87.1		L	4-	7		-0.375
4/24	WEST SPRINGFIELD (9-6)	VA Patriot	90.1	10	L	4-	6		-0.275
4/26	at West Potomac (6-6)	VA Patriot	86.3		W	7-	3		0.175
4/30	LAKE BRADDOCK (4-11)	VA Patriot	85.9		L	4-	8		-0.350
5/07	at Annandale (8-6)	VA Patriot	89.2		L	6-	7	ot	-0.225
			83.5						-0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	J.E.B. Stuart	15-	3	12	11		-1.19	1.36
3/15	A	Wakefield HS	15-	0	15	17	–	1.19	-2.07
3/19	H	Washington-Lee	18-	0	18	11	+++	-1.19	6.73
3/23	A	Edison	14-	3	11	7	++	1.19	4.24
3/27	A	Hayfield	5-	10	-5	-3		1.19	-1.87
4/09	A	Annandale	9-	3	6	-1	+++	1.19	7.02
4/18	A	Robert E Lee	16-	2	14	11	+	1.19	3.01
4/21	H	T.C. Williams	4-	7	-3	5	–––	-1.19	-7.79
4/24	H	West Springfield	4-	6	-2	1	–	-1.19	-3.31
4/26	A	West Potomac	7-	3	4	3		1.19	0.55
4/30	H	Lake Braddock	4-	8	-4	4	–––	-1.19	-7.91
5/07	A	Annandale	6-	7	-1	-1		1.19	0.02
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	J.E.B. Stuart	15-	3	-1.36
3/15	A	Wakefield HS	15-	0	2.07
3/19	H	Washington-Lee	18-	0	-6.73
3/23	A	Edison	14-	3	-1.00
4/18	A	Robert E Lee	16-	2	-3.01
10-goal correction: -0.84

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	612
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.00		Natl Power Rank	612
Natl SOS Rating	75.96		Natl SOS Rank	1288
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	2548
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	961
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3

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