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Severn Admirals (10-8)

Region: MD A MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Andy Hilgartner

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	at St Anne's-Belfield (14-5)	VA 1 VIP	92.2		W	8-	5		0.175
3/18	vs. Western Reserve Acad # (16-3)	OH 1 Indep	98.7		L	8-	9		-0.175
3/19	RAVENWOOD (19-2)	TN 1 East	95.2		W	15-	9		0.200
3/23	vs. DeMatha # (14-7)	DC WCAC	93.5		W	8-	7		0.200
3/27	at Mount St Joseph (9-6)	MD A MIAA	95.5		L	5-	7		-0.225
3/30	at Calvert Hall (5-7)	MD A MIAA	95.7	10	L	8-	11		-0.150
4/03	at St Paul's (14-4)	MD A MIAA	98.4	4	L	7-	14		-0.150
4/05	at Broadneck (12-4)	MD 43 East	91.9		W	15-	8		0.175
4/07	at Severna Park (18-2)	MD 43 East	96.8		W	13-	9		0.300
4/10	at Archbishop Spalding (8-11)	MD A MIAA	93.3		W	13-	7		0.225
4/13	GILMAN (7-9)	MD A MIAA	95.3		L	9-	12		-0.250
4/14	vs. Annapolis # (12-5)	MD 43 East	90.5		W	13-	4		0.125
4/17	FRIENDS (0-13)	MD A MIAA	82.4		W	16-	6		0.000
4/19	vs. St Mary's Annapolis # (9-8)	MD A MIAA	96.6	9	L	4-	7		-0.200
4/24	at McDonogh (19-5)	MD A MIAA	98.0	5	W	9-	8		0.350
4/27	BOYS' LATIN (18-2)	MD A MIAA	99.7	1	L	3-	13		-0.100
5/01	LOYOLA-BLAKEFIELD (13-2)	MD A MIAA	99.6	2	L	7-	8		-0.150
5/03	GONZAGA (8-11)	DC WCAC	90.0		W	16-	9		0.075
# Neutral site			93.1						0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	A	St Anne's-Belfield	8-	5	3	3		0.93		0.41
3/18	N	Western Reserve Acad	8-	9	-1	-3	+	0.00		2.03
3/19	H	Ravenwood	15-	9	6	2	+	-1.64		3.91
3/23	N	DeMatha	8-	7	1	2		0.00		-1.22
3/27	A	Mount St Joseph	5-	7	-2	-1		1.33	-0.88
3/30	A	Calvert Hall	8-	11	-3	-4		1.33	0.50
4/03	A	St Paul's	7-	14	-7	-4	–	1.33	-2.64
4/05	A	Broadneck	15-	8	7	3	++	1.03		4.19
4/07	A	Severna Park	13-	9	4	-2	+++	1.03		6.08
4/10	A	Archbishop Spalding	13-	7	6	1	++	1.33	4.93
4/13	H	Gilman	9-	12	-3	0	–	-1.33	-2.57
4/14	N	Annapolis	13-	4	9	5	+	0.00		3.82
4/17	H	Friends	16-	6	10	13	–	-1.33	-3.27
4/19	N	St Mary's Annapolis	4-	7	-3	-2		0.00	-0.51
4/24	A	McDonogh	9-	8	1	-4	++	1.33	5.14
4/27	H	Boys' Latin	3-	13	-10	-6	–	-1.33	-3.68
5/01	H	Loyola-Blakefield	7-	8	-1	-4	+	-1.33	2.98
5/03	H	Gonzaga	16-	9	7	7		-1.41		-0.07
									0.00	19.16

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	Friends	16-	6	3.27
4/27	H	Boys' Latin	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	116
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.70		Natl Power Rank	115
Natl SOS Rating	97.05		Natl SOS Rank	14
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	746
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1055
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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