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Shelton Gaels (8-9)

Conference: SCIAC

Region: CT L

State: CT

Coach: Scott Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	NOTRE DAME-WEST HAVEN (5-11)	CT M	79.8		W	7-	6		0.125
4/12	at Stamford (5-11)	CT L	83.4		W	6-	5		0.300
4/14	WESTHILL (3-13)	CT L	80.3		W	9-	2		0.150
4/18	XAVIER (5-11)	CT L	85.8		W	8-	4		0.250
4/20	at Guilford (11-8)	CT M	91.5		L	3-	16		0.000
4/24	at West Haven (6-10)	CT L	82.0		W	9-	7		0.200
4/26	NORTH HAVEN (7-9)	CT M	85.4		W	7-	4		0.225
5/02	WEST HAVEN (6-10)	CT L	82.0		L	6-	7	2ot	-0.400
5/05	BRIDGEPORT CENTRAL (2-12)	CT L	74.9		W	13-	2		0.025
5/08	AMITY REGIONAL (14-5)	CT L	94.6		L	2-	5		-0.050
5/10	at Hamden (8-10)	CT L	87.6		L	4-	8		-0.125
5/12	at Masuk-Monroe (8-9)	CT M	87.7		L	3-	13		-0.075
5/15	at North Haven (7-9)	CT M	85.4		L	9-	11		-0.200
5/19	ELLINGTON (7-10)	CT S	81.0		W	10-	6		0.125
5/21	at Notre Dame-West Haven (5-11)	CT M	79.8		L	5-	6		-0.275
5/23	at Branford (19-4)	CT M	96.5	5	L	3-	19		0.000
6/02	at Amity Regional (14-5)	CT L	94.6		L	3-	13		0.000
			83.1						0.28

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	H	Notre Dame-West Haven	7-	6	1	5	–	-1.70	-3.67
4/12	A	Stamford	6-	5	1	-2	+	1.70	3.14
4/14	H	Westhill	9-	2	7	4	+	-1.70	3.32
4/18	H	Xavier	8-	4	4	0	++	-1.70	4.18
4/20	A	Guilford	3-	16	-13	-10	–	1.70	-2.91
4/24	A	West Haven	9-	7	2	2		1.70	-0.16
4/26	H	North Haven	7-	4	3	1		-1.70	1.96
5/02	H	West Haven	6-	7	-1	6	–––	-1.70	-6.55
5/05	H	Bridgeport Central	13-	2	11	9		-1.70	1.83
5/08	H	Amity Regional	2-	5	-3	-8	++	-1.70	4.70
5/10	A	Hamden	4-	8	-4	-5		1.70	0.67
5/12	A	Masuk-Monroe	3-	13	-10	-7	–	1.70	-3.43
5/15	A	North Haven	9-	11	-2	-2		1.70	0.35
5/19	H	Ellington	10-	6	4	5		-1.70	-1.24
5/21	A	Notre Dame-West Haven	5-	6	-1	1	–	1.70	-2.28
5/23	A	Branford	3-	19	-16	-15		1.70	-0.99
6/02	A	Amity Regional	3-	13	-10	-11		1.70	1.09
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	A	Guilford	3-	16	3.00
5/05	H	Bridgeport Central	13-	2	-1.00
5/12	A	Masuk-Monroe	3-	13	0.00
5/23	A	Branford	3-	19	0.99
6/02	A	Amity Regional	3-	13	-1.09
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1314
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.09		Natl Power Rank	1314
Natl SOS Rating	75.59		Natl SOS Rank	1332
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.28		Natl Quality Win Rank	822
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1396
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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