| Conference: D1 | Region: CA SCCAL | State: CA | Coach: Keith Leisses |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/27 | at Harbor (12-5) | CA SCCAL | 82.1 | | L | 2- | 15 | | -0.050 |
3/01 | WATSONVILLE (3-11) | CA SCCAL | 70.4 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.200 |
3/03 | LELAND (8-9) | CA PAL | 83.1 | | L | 7- | 17 | | -0.075 |
3/08 | SCOTTS VALLEY (10-6) | CA SCCAL | 80.1 | | L | 7- | 21 | | -0.100 |
3/10 | SAINT MARY'S (9-8) | CA Diablo | 83.6 | | L | 7- | 12 | | -0.025 |
3/13 | SOQUEL (2-13) | CA SCCAL | 67.2 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.125 |
3/15 | at Pacific Grove (13-4) | CA SCCAL | 83.0 | | L | 3- | 19 | | -0.050 |
3/17 | ROBERT L STEVENSON (13-3) | CA SCCAL | 91.4 | | L | 1- | 13 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | SANTA CRUZ (0-14) | CA SCCAL | 65.0 | | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.125 |
3/22 | APTOS (5-12) | CA SCCAL | 71.5 | | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.200 |
3/27 | HARBOR (12-5) | CA SCCAL | 82.1 | | L | 3- | 13 | | -0.075 |
3/29 | at York School (6-6) | CA SCCAL | 76.1 | | W | 5- | 2 | | 0.300 |
4/03 | at Pacific Grove (13-4) | CA SCCAL | 83.0 | | L | 7- | 12 | | -0.050 |
4/05 | at Santa Cruz (0-14) | CA SCCAL | 65.0 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.125 |
4/17 | at Carmel (11-6) | CA SCCAL | 84.4 | | L | 0- | 11 | | -0.025 |
4/21 | at Soquel (2-13) | CA SCCAL | 67.2 | | W | 5- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/26 | at Watsonville (3-11) | CA SCCAL | 70.4 | | W | 5- | 4 | ot | 0.225 |
4/28 | at Scotts Valley (10-6) | CA SCCAL | 80.1 | | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.075 |
5/01 | at Aptos (5-12) | CA SCCAL | 71.5 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.200 |
5/08 | YORK SCHOOL (6-6) | CA SCCAL | 76.1 | | L | 3- | 5 | | -0.200 |
| | 74.4 | | | | | | 0.93 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/27 | A | Harbor | 2- | 15 | -13 | -8 | –– | 0.38 | -5.22 | |
3/01 | H | Watsonville | 9- | 4 | 5 | 2 | + | -0.38 | 3.43 | |
3/03 | H | Leland | 7- | 17 | -10 | -7 | – | -0.38 | -2.74 | |
3/08 | H | Scotts Valley | 7- | 21 | -14 | -6 | ––– | -0.38 | -7.60 | |
3/10 | H | Saint Mary's | 7- | 12 | -5 | -9 | ++ | -0.38 | 4.01 | |
3/13 | H | Soquel | 12- | 2 | 10 | 5 | ++ | -0.38 | 5.17 | |
3/15 | A | Pacific Grove | 3- | 19 | -16 | -8 | ––– | 0.38 | -7.71 | |
3/17 | H | Robert L Stevenson | 1- | 13 | -12 | -15 | + | -0.38 | 2.84 | |
3/20 | H | Santa Cruz | 11- | 2 | 9 | 5 | + | -0.38 | 3.56 | |
3/22 | H | Aptos | 7- | 5 | 2 | 2 | | -0.38 | -0.29 | |
3/27 | H | Harbor | 3- | 13 | -10 | -7 | – | -0.38 | -2.98 | |
3/29 | A | York School | 5- | 2 | 3 | -2 | ++ | 0.38 | 5.35 | |
4/03 | A | Pacific Grove | 7- | 12 | -5 | -8 | + | 0.38 | 3.29 | |
4/05 | A | Santa Cruz | 12- | 4 | 8 | 5 | + | 0.38 | 3.32 | |
4/17 | A | Carmel | 0- | 11 | -11 | -9 | | 0.38 | -1.76 | |
4/21 | A | Soquel | 5- | 4 | 1 | 4 | – | 0.38 | -3.07 | |
4/26 | A | Watsonville | 5- | 4 | 1 | 1 | | 0.38 | 0.18 | |
4/28 | A | Scotts Valley | 6- | 12 | -6 | -7 | | 0.38 | 1.16 | |
5/01 | A | Aptos | 9- | 8 | 1 | 2 | | 0.38 | -0.54 | |
5/08 | H | York School | 3- | 5 | -2 | -2 | | -0.38 | -0.40 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/27 | A | Harbor | 2- | 15 | 3.00 |
3/03 | H | Leland | 7- | 17 | 0.00 |
3/08 | H | Scotts Valley | 7- | 21 | 4.00 |
3/13 | H | Soquel | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
3/15 | A | Pacific Grove | 3- | 19 | 6.00 |
3/17 | H | Robert L Stevenson | 1- | 13 | -2.84 |
3/27 | H | Harbor | 3- | 13 | 0.00 |
4/17 | A | Carmel | 0- | 11 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.56 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 75. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2182 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 75.07 | | Natl Power Rank | 2182 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 60.32 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2479 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.93 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 283 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.45 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1483 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -12.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.3 |
|
