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Saint Mary's Panthers (9-8)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Diablo

State: CA

Coach: Jerry Bock

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/21	at Clayton Valley (11-10)	CA Diablo	83.3		L	5-	7		-0.275
2/23	at Sonoma Academy (7-11)	CA BayArea	77.8		W	9-	5		0.100
2/26	at Dublin (4-13)	CA DFAL	77.1		W	14-	6		0.125
3/09	at Leland (8-9)	CA PAL	83.1		L	5-	11		-0.275
3/10	at San Lorenzo Valley (9-11)	CA SCCAL	75.1		W	12-	7		0.025
3/12	at Cardinal Newman (8-9)	CA BayArea	83.2		W	12-	11	ot	0.250
3/15	COLLEGE PREP (0-4)	CA BayArea	68.0		W	18-	6		0.000
3/20	TAMALPAIS (6-8)	CA Marin	83.9		L	10-	14		-0.225
3/22	LICK-WILMERDING (8-5)	CA BayArea	88.6		L	5-	9		-0.150
3/27	STUART HALL (5-3)	CA BayArea	74.4		W	15-	2		0.000
3/29	COLLEGE PARK (1-11)	CA DFAL	72.1		W	16-	3		0.025
4/02	LIVERMORE (0-14)	CA EastBay	73.4		W	11-	2		0.075
4/17	at De LaSalle (19-3)	CA Diablo	96.6	2	L	5-	13		0.000
4/20	PIEDMONT (15-6)	CA Diablo	93.8	6	L	1-	15		0.000
4/24	BERKELEY (8-9)	CA Diablo	88.3		L	10-	11		-0.150
4/26	at Bishop O'Dowd (5-9)	CA Diablo	86.5		L	8-	12		-0.150
5/01	CLAYTON VALLEY (11-10)	CA Diablo	83.3		W	8-	7	ot	0.225
			79.3						-0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/21	A	Clayton Valley	5-	7	-2	1	–	0.38	-2.67
2/23	A	Sonoma Academy	9-	5	4	6		0.38	-1.69
2/26	A	Dublin	14-	6	8	5	+	0.38	3.41
3/09	A	Leland	5-	11	-6	1	–––	0.38	-7.37
3/10	A	San Lorenzo Valley	12-	7	5	9	––	0.38	-4.01
3/12	A	Cardinal Newman	12-	11	1	0		0.38	1.25
3/15	H	College Prep	18-	6	12	12		-0.38	-0.38
3/20	H	Tamalpais	10-	14	-4	-1	–	-0.38	-3.42
3/22	H	Lick-Wilmerding	5-	9	-4	-4		-0.38	0.04
3/27	H	Stuart Hall	15-	2	13	10	+	-0.38	2.63
3/29	H	College Park	16-	3	13	9	+	-0.38	3.75
4/02	H	Livermore	11-	2	9	7		-0.38	1.94
4/17	A	De LaSalle	5-	13	-8	-15	+++	0.38	6.87
4/20	H	Piedmont	1-	15	-14	-12	–	-0.38	-2.26
4/24	H	Berkeley	10-	11	-1	-4	+	-0.38	2.77
4/26	A	Bishop O'Dowd	8-	12	-4	-4		0.38	-0.42
5/01	H	Clayton Valley	8-	7	1	1		-0.38	-0.42
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	H	College Prep	18-	6	0.38
3/27	H	Stuart Hall	15-	2	-2.63
3/29	H	College Park	16-	3	-3.00
4/20	H	Piedmont	1-	15	2.26
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1254
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.58		Natl Power Rank	1254
Natl SOS Rating	69.28		Natl SOS Rank	1994
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	2022
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1157
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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