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Saint Margaret's Tartans (10-8)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Trinity

State: CA

Coach: Jerry Manning

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/02	at Huntington Beach (5-11)	CA Seaview	79.1		W	17-	4		0.025
3/09	at Corona Del Mar (12-7)	CA Seaview	89.4	5	W	15-	14		0.250
3/13	ANAHEIM SERVITE (1-7)	CA Trinity	68.8		W	15-	1		0.000
3/16	at Santa Margarita (6-12)	CA Trinity	76.4		W	17-	2		0.000
3/19	MIRA COSTA (8-10)	CA So-Bay	83.9		W	13-	5		0.100
3/21	J SERRA CATHOLIC (13-4)	CA Trinity	89.2	6	W	11-	8		0.150
3/26	at Redwood (15-3)	CA Marin	93.9		L	5-	13		-0.100
3/27	at Marin Catholic (12-10)	CA Marin	91.3		L	3-	7		-0.175
4/04	ANAHEIM SERVITE (1-7)	CA Trinity	68.8		W	15-	2		0.000
4/09	EL TORO (15-2)	CA Seaview	95.1	2	L	8-	10		-0.175
4/12	DEMATHA (14-7)	DC WCAC	93.5		L	1-	6		-0.175
4/14	BELLEVUE (14-6)	WA 1 Div-1	90.9		L	5-	6		-0.225
4/17	SANTA MARGARITA (6-12)	CA Trinity	76.4		W	13-	1		0.000
4/20	at J Serra Catholic (13-4)	CA Trinity	89.2	6	W	10-	7		0.225
4/23	CORONADO (16-5)	CA City	93.7		L	3-	13		-0.150
4/25	at Rancho Bernardo (11-8)	CA North	89.5		L	2-	4		-0.225
4/28	BECKMAN (9-7)	CA Coast	84.2		W	4-	1		0.075
4/30	at El Toro (15-2)	CA Seaview	95.1	2	L	5-	13		-0.100
			87.8						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/02	A	Huntington Beach	17-	4	13	9	++	1.07	4.43
3/09	A	Corona Del Mar	15-	14	1	0		1.07	0.99
3/13	H	Anaheim Servite	15-	1	14	16	–	-1.07	-2.37
3/16	A	Santa Margarita	17-	2	15	11	++	1.07	4.03
3/19	H	Mira Costa	13-	5	8	6		-1.07	1.61
3/21	H	J Serra Catholic	11-	8	3	4		-1.07	-0.58
3/26	A	Redwood	5-	13	-8	-6	–	0.72		-2.42
3/27	A	Marin Catholic	3-	7	-4	-3		0.72		-1.12
4/04	H	Anaheim Servite	15-	2	13	16	–	-1.07	-3.37
4/09	H	El Toro	8-	10	-2	-3		-1.07	1.37
4/12	H	DeMatha	1-	6	-5	-3		-1.28		-1.89
4/14	H	Bellevue	5-	6	-1	-1		-0.92		-0.14
4/17	H	Santa Margarita	13-	1	12	13		-1.07	-1.10
4/20	A	J Serra Catholic	10-	7	3	1		1.07	1.56
4/23	H	Coronado	3-	13	-10	-4	–––	-0.80		-6.15
4/25	A	Rancho Bernardo	2-	4	-2	-1		0.80		-0.81
4/28	H	Beckman	4-	1	3	7	––	-1.07	-4.07
4/30	A	El Toro	5-	13	-8	-6	–	1.07	-2.50
									0.00	-12.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/02	A	Huntington Beach	17-	4	-3.00
3/13	H	Anaheim Servite	15-	1	2.37
3/16	A	Santa Margarita	17-	2	-4.03
4/04	H	Anaheim Servite	15-	2	3.37
4/17	H	Santa Margarita	13-	1	1.10
4/23	H	Coronado	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	571
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.09		Natl Power Rank	571
Natl SOS Rating	85.28		Natl SOS Rank	374
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2411
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1050
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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