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Smithsburg Leopards (8-7)

Region: MD 21 West

State: MD

Coach: Joe Dietrich

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	SOUTH HAGERSTOWN (0-12)	MD 21 West	60.9		W	15-	1		0.000
3/27	WALKERSVILLE (12-2)	MD 32 West	90.3		L	6-	18		-0.025
3/31	ST JOHNS CATHOLIC PREP (5-11)	MD B MIAA	80.7		L	10-	11	2ot	-0.275
4/03	at Thomas Johnson (5-10)	MD 43 North	78.9		W	14-	11		0.300
4/07	ST JAMES (17-2)	DC MAC	89.6		L	2-	11		-0.050
4/07	CENTURY (14-3)	MD 21 West	90.6		L	4-	9		0.000
4/10	at North Hagerstown (2-13)	MD 21 West	64.9		W	13-	1		0.000
4/12	at Tuscarora (3-12)	MD 32 West	76.8		W	10-	9		0.275
4/17	CATOCTIN (6-6)	MD 21 West	77.9		W	10-	4		0.200
4/19	at South Hagerstown (0-12)	MD 21 West	60.9		W	18-	3		0.000
4/25	BRUNSWICK (5-9)	MD 21 West	74.7		W	15-	9		0.175
5/01	at Middletown (10-3)	MD 21 West	85.6		L	6-	18		-0.125
5/07	at Atholton (7-6)	MD 32 South	84.6		L	4-	12		-0.100
5/09	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-13)	MD 21 West	64.9		W	16-	4		0.000
5/11	SOUTH CARROLL (7-8)	MD 21 West	85.2		L	5-	10		-0.125
			78.1						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	South Hagerstown	15-	1	14	17	–	-0.72	-2.58
3/27	H	Walkersville	6-	18	-12	-9	–	-0.72	-2.72
3/31	H	St Johns Catholic Prep	10-	11	-1	1		-1.08		-1.58
4/03	A	Thomas Johnson	14-	11	3	-2	++	0.72	4.72
4/07	H	St James	2-	11	-9	-8		-1.10		-0.74
4/07	H	Century	4-	9	-5	-10	++	-0.72	4.54
4/10	A	North Hagerstown	13-	1	12	13		0.72	-0.59
4/12	A	Tuscarora	10-	9	1	-1		0.72	1.55
4/17	H	Catoctin	10-	4	6	2	++	-0.72	4.38
4/19	A	South Hagerstown	18-	3	15	15		0.72	-0.13
4/25	H	Brunswick	15-	9	6	3	+	-0.72	2.83
5/01	A	Middletown	6-	18	-12	-5	–––	0.72	-7.13
5/07	A	Atholton	4-	12	-8	-6	–	0.72	-2.43
5/09	H	North Hagerstown	16-	4	12	14	–	-0.72	-2.03
5/11	H	South Carroll	5-	10	-5	-5		-0.72	-0.40
									0.00	-2.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	South Hagerstown	15-	1	2.58
3/27	H	Walkersville	6-	18	2.00
4/10	A	North Hagerstown	13-	1	0.59
4/19	A	South Hagerstown	18-	3	0.13
5/01	A	Middletown	6-	18	2.00
5/09	H	North Hagerstown	16-	4	2.04
10-goal correction: 0.62

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1761
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.21		Natl Power Rank	1761
Natl SOS Rating	67.46		Natl SOS Rank	2124
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	797
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1141
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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