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Charlotte South Meck Sabres (3-14)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Lenny Saia

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at Lake Norman (6-6)	NC CHSCLC	79.3		L	8-	11		-0.050
3/02	at Ardrey Kell (3-12)	NC 4A	72.9		L	7-	9		-0.225
3/08	CHARLOTTE PROVIDENCE (20-4)	NC 4A	92.8	4	L	3-	18		0.000
3/12	FREEDOM-MORGANTON (4-9)	NC 4A	74.7		L	6-	12		-0.250
3/14	LAKE NORMAN (6-6)	NC CHSCLC	79.3		W	8-	4		0.375
3/20	at Charlotte North Meck (10-8)	NC CHSCLC	88.2		L	2-	13		0.000
3/26	at Charlotte Providence (20-4)	NC 4A	92.8	4	L	3-	18		0.000
3/28	CHARLOTTE MYERS PARK (10-9)	NC 4A	82.1		L	5-	11		-0.075
3/29	CHARLOTTE BUTLER (3-13)	NC 4A	72.8		W	4-	2		0.200
4/13	ARDREY KELL (3-12)	NC 4A	72.9		W	6-	3		0.250
4/19	WEDDINGTON (10-9)	NC 4A	84.5		L	4-	11		-0.050
4/21	at Charlotte Catholic (18-6)	NC 3A/2A	91.6	6	L	4-	16		0.000
4/23	WEDDINGTON (10-9)	NC 4A	84.5		L	4-	11		-0.050
4/25	at Charlotte Myers Park (10-9)	NC 4A	82.1		L	3-	13		-0.050
4/28	at Charlotte Butler (3-13)	NC 4A	72.8		L	4-	5		-0.250
4/30	at Weddington (10-9)	NC 4A	84.5		L	5-	17		-0.025
5/02	CHARLOTTE CATHOLIC (18-6)	NC 3A/2A	91.6	6	L	3-	17		0.000
			83.9						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Lake Norman	8-	11	-3	-8	++	1.87		5.25
3/02	A	Ardrey Kell	7-	9	-2	-1		0.74	-0.92
3/08	H	Charlotte Providence	3-	18	-15	-16		-0.74	0.70
3/12	H	Freedom-Morganton	6-	12	-6	0	––	-0.74	-5.57
3/14	H	Lake Norman	8-	4	4	-5	+++	-1.87		8.51
3/20	A	Charlotte North Meck	2-	13	-11	-17	+++	1.87		6.17
3/26	A	Charlotte Providence	3-	18	-15	-17	+	0.74	2.17
3/28	H	Charlotte Myers Park	5-	11	-6	-7		-0.74	0.69
3/29	H	Charlotte Butler	4-	2	2	2		-0.74	0.40
4/13	H	Ardrey Kell	6-	3	3	0	+	-0.74	2.60
4/19	H	Weddington	4-	11	-7	-8		-0.74	0.84
4/21	A	Charlotte Catholic	4-	16	-12	-16	+	0.74	3.69
4/23	H	Weddington	4-	11	-7	-8		-0.74	0.84
4/25	A	Charlotte Myers Park	3-	13	-10	-8		0.74	-1.83
4/28	A	Charlotte Butler	4-	5	-1	0		0.74	-1.12
4/30	A	Weddington	5-	17	-12	-9	–	0.74	-2.68
5/02	H	Charlotte Catholic	3-	17	-14	-14		-0.74	0.21
									0.00	19.92

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/08	H	Charlotte Providence	3-	18	-0.70
3/20	A	Charlotte North Meck	2-	13	-6.17
3/26	A	Charlotte Providence	3-	18	-2.17
4/21	A	Charlotte Catholic	4-	16	-3.69
4/25	A	Charlotte Myers Park	3-	13	0.00
4/30	A	Weddington	5-	17	2.00
5/02	H	Charlotte Catholic	3-	17	-0.21
10-goal correction: -0.64

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2260
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.95		Natl Power Rank	2260
Natl SOS Rating	77.29		Natl SOS Rank	1158
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1828
W-L Pct Rating	0.18		W-L Pct Rank	2291
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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