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St Michael's College Blue Gaels (11-7)

Region: CN CISAAState: CNCoach: Alex Frescura

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/16AURORA (8-5)CN YRAA-S77.2W16- 1 0.050  
4/18MALVERN COLLEGIATE (11-6)CN TDSSAA84.2L8-10 -0.275  
4/20at Ridley College (3-9)CN CISAA76.7W6- 4 0.225  
4/25UPPER CANADA COLLEGE (0-9)CN CISAA73.3W10- 4 0.050  
4/28at St Andrew's College (19-2)CN CISAA90.33L6- 8 -0.125  
5/04at Upper Canada College (0-9)CN CISAA73.3W9- 3 0.175  
5/09ST ANDREW'S COLLEGE (19-2)CN CISAA90.33L7- 8 -0.250  
5/10at Centennial-Brampton (11-4)CN ROPSSA83.6W7- 5 0.250  
5/10vs. Holy Cross-St Cath # (16-2)CN NRHSAA92.01L7-11 -0.125  
5/10vs. St Thomas Aquinas # (1-6)CN HSSAA75.1W8- 4 0.100  
5/10vs. Mayfield # (10-2)CN ROPSSA83.7W3- 2 0.225  
5/16RIDLEY COLLEGE (3-9)CN CISAA76.7W3- 1 0.100  
5/23RIDLEY COLLEGE (3-9)CN CISAA76.7W6- 3 0.100  
5/25at St Andrew's College (19-2)CN CISAA90.33L4-13 -0.125  
6/05vs. Malvern Collegiate # (11-6)CN TDSSAA84.2W7- 5 1.275  
6/05vs. TASS # (1-5)CN COSSA77.0W6- 4 0.175  
6/05at St Andrew's College (19-2)CN CISAA90.33L4- 6 -0.125  
6/05vs. Sir William Mulock # (12-3)CN YRAA-N86.510L5- 8 -0.225  
# Neutral site 85.5     1.47  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/16HAurora16-115   8       +++-2.43       6.62
4/18HMalvern Collegiate8-10-2   1       -2.43       -3.06
4/20ARidley College6-42   1       2.43       0.55
4/25HUpper Canada College10-46   8       -2.43       -1.79
4/28ASt Andrew's College6-8-2   -5       +2.43       2.78
5/04AUpper Canada College9-36   3       +2.43       3.08
5/09HSt Andrew's College7-8-1   0       -2.43       -1.08
5/10ACentennial-Brampton7-52   0       2.43       1.96
5/10NHoly Cross-St Cath7-11-4   -5       0.00       1.18
5/10NSt Thomas Aquinas8-44   6       0.00       -1.71
5/10NMayfield3-21   1       0.00       0.25
5/16HRidley College3-12   6       ––-2.43       -4.31
5/23HRidley College6-33   6       -2.43       -3.31
5/25ASt Andrew's College4-13-9   -5       ––2.43       -4.22
6/05NMalvern Collegiate7-52   -1       +0.00       3.37
6/05NTASS6-42   3       0.00       -0.69
6/05ASt Andrew's College4-6-2   -5       +2.43       2.78
6/05NSir William Mulock5-8-3   -1       0.00       -2.39
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/16HAurora16-1-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 1239
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 83.90   Natl Power Rank 1239
Natl SOS Rating 80.35   Natl SOS Rank 848
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.47   Natl Quality Win Rank 111
W-L Pct Rating 0.61   W-L Pct Rank 877
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.6
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.0



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