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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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San Marin Mustangs (4-11)

Conference: D1Region: CA MarinState: CACoach: Marty Jayne

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
2/27at Piedmont (15-6)CA Diablo93.86L5-13 0.000  
3/03SAINT IGNATIUS PREP (18-0)CA CentCo98.61L4-18 0.000  
3/13UNIVERSITY SF (17-5)CA BayArea92.88L10-14 -0.075  
3/16at Amador Valley (12-8)CA EastBay91.79L4-12 -0.075  
3/21at Terra Linda (0-8)CA Marin73.3W16- 1 0.025  
3/27GOLDEN (10-6)CO Foothil90.0L6- 8 -0.100  
3/28at Tamalpais (6-8)CA Marin83.9W12-10 0.225  
3/30BERKELEY (8-9)CA Diablo88.3L5-10 -0.225  
4/04at Branson (5-10)CA Marin84.1L6-12 -0.275  
4/18MARIN CATHOLIC (12-10)CA Marin91.3L5-10 -0.125  
4/20at San Rafael (6-10)CA Marin80.7W12- 9 0.125  
4/25at Sir Francis Drake (0-10)CA Marin73.5W17- 1 0.025  
4/27REDWOOD (15-3)CA Marin93.95L5-17 -0.075  
5/02NOVATO (11-8)CA Marin89.9L3- 7 -0.150  
5/04FOOTHILL (8-12)CA EastBay87.6L6-10 -0.175  
 85.8     -0.88  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/27APiedmont5-13-8   -10       +0.38       2.06
3/03HSaint Ignatius Prep4-18-14   -15       -0.38       1.05
3/13HUniversity SF10-14-4   -7       +-0.38       2.51
3/16AAmador Valley4-12-8   -7       0.38       -1.04
3/21ATerra Linda16-115   9       ++0.38       5.55
3/27HGolden6-8-2   -6       +-0.48       3.74
3/28ATamalpais12-102   1       0.38       0.91
3/30HBerkeley5-10-5   -1       -0.38       -3.66
4/04ABranson6-12-6   1       –––0.38       -6.67
4/18HMarin Catholic5-10-5   -5       -0.38       0.27
4/20ASan Rafael12-93   5       0.38       -1.53
4/25ASir Francis Drake17-116   9       +++0.38       6.56
4/27HRedwood5-17-12   -7       ––-0.38       -4.64
5/02HNovato3-7-4   -4       -0.38       -0.25
5/04HFoothill6-10-4   -3       -0.38       -1.12
         0.003.74

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/03HSaint Ignatius Prep4-18-1.05
3/21ATerra Linda16-1-5.00
4/25ASir Francis Drake17-1-6.00
4/27HRedwood5-172.00
10-goal correction: -0.67

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 1189
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 83.77   Natl Power Rank 1189
Natl SOS Rating 81.52   Natl SOS Rank 723
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.88   Natl Quality Win Rank 2584
W-L Pct Rating 0.27   W-L Pct Rank 2067
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.7



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