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SouthWest Guilford Cowboys (6-10)

Region: NC 3A/2A

State: NC

Coach: Ian Mosher

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	WEST FORSYTH (5-12)	NC 4A	74.9		W	8-	6		0.200
3/09	CEDAR RIDGE (9-7)	NC 3A/2A	80.4		L	2-	6		-0.175
3/13	EASTERN GUILFORD (1-18)	NC 3A/2A	68.4		W	13-	0		0.025
3/19	at Cedar Ridge (9-7)	NC 3A/2A	80.4		L	5-	10		-0.150
3/21	at SouthEast Guilford (11-6)	NC 3A/2A	87.3		L	1-	14		0.000
3/23	BISHOP MCGUINNESS (10-7)	NC 3A/2A	82.5		L	4-	15		-0.125
3/26	NORTHEAST GUILFORD (0-9)	NC 3A/2A	67.3		W	10-	4		0.050
3/28	at Hillsborough Orange (5-14)	NC 3A/2A	72.6		W	6-	0		0.175
4/10	at Eastern Guilford (1-18)	NC 3A/2A	68.4		W	14-	1		0.075
4/13	SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (11-6)	NC 3A/2A	87.3		L	3-	8		-0.025
4/17	at Ragsdale-Jamestown (10-7)	NC 3A/2A	82.9		L	3-	4		-0.100
4/20	HILLSBOROUGH ORANGE (5-14)	NC 3A/2A	72.6		W	13-	5		0.150
4/23	at Northern Durham (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		L	7-	12		-0.200
4/27	RAGSDALE-JAMESTOWN (10-7)	NC 3A/2A	82.9		L	4-	10		-0.150
5/01	at Bishop McGuinness (10-7)	NC 3A/2A	82.5		L	1-	15		-0.075
5/03	at West Forsyth (5-12)	NC 4A	74.9		L	1-	3		-0.250
			79.8						-0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	West Forsyth	8-	6	2	2		-0.74	0.29
3/09	H	Cedar Ridge	2-	6	-4	-3		-0.74	-1.38
3/13	H	Eastern Guilford	13-	0	13	9	++	-0.74	4.42
3/19	A	Cedar Ridge	5-	10	-5	-4		0.74	-0.90
3/21	A	SouthEast Guilford	1-	14	-13	-11	–	0.74	-2.39
3/23	H	Bishop McGuinness	4-	15	-11	-5	––	-0.74	-5.61
3/26	H	NorthEast Guilford	10-	4	6	8	–	-0.74	-2.31
3/28	A	Hillsborough Orange	6-	0	6	3	+	0.74	3.21
4/10	A	Eastern Guilford	14-	1	13	7	++	0.74	5.89
4/13	H	SouthEast Guilford	3-	8	-5	-9	++	-0.74	4.14
4/17	A	Ragsdale-Jamestown	3-	4	-1	-6	++	0.74	4.92
4/20	H	Hillsborough Orange	13-	5	8	4	+	-0.74	3.73
4/23	A	Northern Durham	7-	12	-5	-2	–	0.74	-3.09
4/27	H	Ragsdale-Jamestown	4-	10	-6	-4		-0.74	-1.56
5/01	A	Bishop McGuinness	1-	15	-14	-7	–––	0.74	-7.13
5/03	A	West Forsyth	1-	3	-2	0	–	0.74	-2.23
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	Eastern Guilford	13-	0	-3.00
3/21	A	SouthEast Guilford	1-	14	2.39
3/23	H	Bishop McGuinness	4-	15	1.00
4/10	A	Eastern Guilford	14-	1	-3.00
5/01	A	Bishop McGuinness	1-	15	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2045
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.43		Natl Power Rank	2045
Natl SOS Rating	69.62		Natl SOS Rank	1957
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	2256
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1747
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.3


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