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Somerville Pioneers (8-11)

Conference: Curcio

Region: NJ Grp-I

State: NJ

Coach: Dave Lerner

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at North Warren (7-10)	NJ Grp-I	84.3		L	2-	5		-0.150
4/05	BERNARDS (12-7)	NJ Grp-I	88.8		L	6-	14		-0.150
4/07	MORRIS KNOLLS (8-9)	NJ Grp-III	81.6		W	9-	6		0.250
4/09	at Immaculata (15-5)	NJ Grp-B	94.9		L	1-	17		0.000
4/11	at Watchung Hills (14-4)	NJ Grp-III	93.7		L	0-	17		0.000
4/18	at North Hunterdon (3-15)	NJ Grp-III	87.0		L	2-	13		-0.025
4/20	at New Egypt (8-11)	NJ Grp-I	76.0		W	10-	5		0.225
4/24	HIGHTSTOWN (3-11)	NJ Grp-II	68.2		W	16-	3		0.050
4/26	EWING TOWNSHIP (0-15)	NJ Grp-II	62.4		W	12-	2		0.000
5/01	at Lawrence (6-8)	NJ Grp-III	82.2		L	4-	14		-0.200
5/02	at Moorestown Friends (5-9)	NJ Grp-B	77.1		W	10-	5		0.200
5/05	at Hillsborough (11-9)	NJ Grp-IV	92.7		L	2-	18		0.000
5/08	at Northern Burlington (2-12)	NJ Grp-II	72.7		W	8-	7		0.200
5/10	at Bernards (12-7)	NJ Grp-I	88.8		L	4-	15		-0.100
5/12	RUTGERS PREP (13-4)	NJ Private	88.1		L	6-	11		-0.175
5/15	DELAWARE VALLEY (11-8)	NJ Grp-I	87.1		W	16-	13		0.350
5/18	at Allentown (9-7)	NJ Grp-I	84.1		W	5-	4		0.325
5/21	NOTRE DAME-TRENTON (14-5)	NJ Grp-A	91.8		L	4-	15		-0.025
5/22	VOORHEES (5-12)	NJ Grp-II	87.1		L	5-	10		-0.100
			80.1						0.67

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	North Warren	2-	5	-3	-4		1.02	0.58
4/05	H	Bernards	6-	14	-8	-4	–	-1.02	-3.55
4/07	H	Morris Knolls	9-	6	3	0	+	-1.02	2.77
4/09	A	Immaculata	1-	17	-16	-16		1.02	0.17
4/11	A	Watchung Hills	0-	17	-17	-14	–	1.02	-2.98
4/18	A	North Hunterdon	2-	13	-11	-9		1.02	-1.63
4/20	A	New Egypt	10-	5	5	1	+	1.02	3.66
4/24	H	Hightstown	16-	3	13	8	++	-1.02	5.11
4/26	H	Ewing Township	12-	2	10	11		-1.02	-0.68
5/01	A	Lawrence	4-	14	-10	-2	–––	1.02	-7.71
5/02	A	Moorestown Friends	10-	5	5	2	+	1.02	2.94
5/05	A	Hillsborough	2-	18	-16	-15		1.02	-1.27
5/08	A	Northern Burlington	8-	7	1	2		1.02	-0.52
5/10	A	Bernards	4-	15	-11	-6	––	1.02	-4.51
5/12	H	Rutgers Prep	6-	11	-5	-3		-1.02	-1.62
5/15	H	Delaware Valley	16-	13	3	-4	+++	-1.02	6.71
5/18	A	Allentown	5-	4	1	-3	+	1.02	3.91
5/21	H	Notre Dame-Trenton	4-	15	-11	-9		-1.02	-1.97
5/22	H	Voorhees	5-	10	-5	-6		-1.02	0.60
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Immaculata	1-	17	-0.17
4/11	A	Watchung Hills	0-	17	2.98
4/18	A	North Hunterdon	2-	13	1.00
4/24	H	Hightstown	16-	3	-3.00
4/26	H	Ewing Township	12-	2	0.68
5/01	A	Lawrence	4-	14	0.00
5/05	A	Hillsborough	2-	18	1.27
5/10	A	Bernards	4-	15	1.00
5/21	H	Notre Dame-Trenton	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	1677
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.11		Natl Power Rank	1677
Natl SOS Rating	70.65		Natl SOS Rank	1851
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.67		Natl Quality Win Rank	446
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1595
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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