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Southern Regional Rams (6-11)

Conference: Shore

Region: NJ Grp-IV

State: NJ

Coach: Paul McMahon

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	ST ROSE BELMAR (8-7)	NJ Grp-B	87.8		L	7-	9		-0.125
4/05	MONSIGNOR DONOVAN (8-7)	NJ Grp-A	86.0		L	6-	11		-0.225
4/07	HOWELL (5-11)	NJ Grp-IV	77.7		W	10-	0		0.200
4/10	ST JOHN VIANNEY (6-8)	NJ Grp-A	80.1		L	4-	6		-0.300
4/12	at Toms River South (8-8)	NJ Grp-III	86.5		L	6-	9		-0.100
4/14	RUMSON-FAIR HAVEN (13-4)	NJ Grp-I	92.4		L	3-	9		-0.025
4/18	TOMS RIVER EAST (7-8)	NJ Grp-III	83.3		L	2-	5		-0.225
4/24	at Jackson Memorial (7-7)	NJ Grp-IV	85.7		L	0-	10		-0.175
4/26	BRICK TOWNSHIP (2-11)	NJ Grp-III	72.3		W	8-	5		0.125
4/28	MANASQUAN (11-7)	NJ Grp-I	87.0		L	7-	9		-0.200
5/01	at Toms River North (12-3)	NJ Grp-IV	90.9		L	5-	16		-0.025
5/03	at Barnegat Township (1-15)	NJ Grp-I	65.0		W	16-	6		0.050
5/04	MARLBORO (5-12)	NJ Grp-IV	69.8		W	20-	3		0.025
5/07	COLT'S NECK (17-3)	NJ Grp-III	91.9		L	6-	12		-0.075
5/08	at St Joseph Hammonton (2-12)	NJ Grp-B	63.8		W	15-	2		0.025
5/10	BRICK MEMORIAL (6-10)	NJ Grp-IV	75.2		W	7-	5		0.125
5/14	MAINLAND REGIONAL (13-5)	NJ Grp-III	83.7		L	4-	8		-0.325
			77.3						-1.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	St Rose Belmar	7-	9	-2	-5	+	-1.02	3.27
4/05	H	Monsignor Donovan	6-	11	-5	-1	––	-1.02	-4.32
4/07	H	Howell	10-	0	10	2	+++	-1.02	7.52
4/10	H	St John Vianney	4-	6	-2	2	–	-1.02	-3.70
4/12	A	Toms River South	6-	9	-3	-6	+	1.02	2.60
4/14	H	Rumson-Fair Haven	3-	9	-6	-9	+	-1.02	3.04
4/18	H	Toms River East	2-	5	-3	-1	–	-1.02	-2.46
4/24	A	Jackson Memorial	0-	10	-10	-3	–––	1.02	-6.81
4/26	H	Brick Township	8-	5	3	5	–	-1.02	-2.16
4/28	H	Manasquan	7-	9	-2	-2		-1.02	0.24
5/01	A	Toms River North	5-	16	-11	-9	–	1.02	-2.39
5/03	A	Barnegat Township	16-	6	10	8	+	1.02	2.03
5/04	H	Marlboro	20-	3	17	9	+++	-1.02	8.27
5/07	H	Colt's Neck	6-	12	-6	-7		-1.02	0.58
5/08	A	St Joseph Hammonton	15-	2	13	9	++	1.02	4.15
5/10	H	Brick Memorial	7-	5	2	5	–	-1.02	-3.10
5/14	H	Mainland Regional	4-	8	-4	3	–––	-1.02	-6.78
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Howell	10-	0	0.00
4/24	A	Jackson Memorial	0-	10	0.00
5/01	A	Toms River North	5-	16	1.00
5/03	A	Barnegat Township	16-	6	0.00
5/04	H	Marlboro	20-	3	-7.00
5/08	A	St Joseph Hammonton	15-	2	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.53

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1768
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.17		Natl Power Rank	1768
Natl SOS Rating	65.66		Natl SOS Rank	2214
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	2693
W-L Pct Rating	0.35		W-L Pct Rank	1814
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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