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St Paul's Big Red (5-11)

Region: NE ISL

State: NH

Coach: Doug Dickson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	BROOKS SCHOOL (10-7)	NE ISL	94.0		L	4-	5		-0.225
4/11	at Middlesex (11-4)	NE ISL	95.9	6	L	6-	8		-0.100
4/14	at Roxbury Latin (0-15)	NE ISL	82.9		W	14-	5		0.075
4/21	at St Sebastian (11-6)	NE ISL	94.7		L	11-	12		-0.150
4/23	BELMONT HILL (15-1)	NE ISL	97.4	3	L	8-	9	ot	-0.175
4/25	GROTON SCHOOL (1-14)	NE ISL	83.7		W	14-	1		0.025
4/27	THAYER ACADEMY (11-6)	NE ISL	94.2		L	3-	6		-0.250
5/02	at Rivers (10-6)	NE ISL	94.2		L	7-	13		-0.150
5/05	BUCKINGHAM, B&N (3-14)	NE ISL	85.3		W	13-	5		0.100
5/09	at The Governor's Academy (15-2)	NE ISL	98.2	1	L	5-	13		-0.025
5/12	at Noble & Greenough (12-4)	NE ISL	95.7	7	L	11-	17		-0.125
5/14	HOLDERNESS (8-5)	NE East-1	94.8	10	L	5-	13		-0.200
5/16	MILTON ACADEMY (7-8)	NE ISL	92.1		L	9-	14		-0.250
5/19	ST GEORGE'S (9-10)	NE ISL	91.4		W	6-	5		0.200
5/21	at Lawrence Academy (7-10)	NE ISL	89.8		W	12-	4		0.225
5/23	ST MARK'S (4-11)	NE ISL	88.2		L	5-	7		-0.375
			90.6						-1.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	H	Brooks School	4-	5	-1	-1		-1.45	0.07
4/11	A	Middlesex	6-	8	-2	-6	++	1.45	4.10
4/14	A	Roxbury Latin	14-	5	9	7	+	1.45	2.20
4/21	A	St Sebastian	11-	12	-1	-4	+	1.45	2.82
4/23	H	Belmont Hill	8-	9	-1	-3	+	-1.45	2.43
4/25	H	Groton School	14-	1	13	9	+	-1.45	3.81
4/27	H	Thayer Academy	3-	6	-3	0	–	-1.45	-3.04
5/02	A	Rivers	7-	13	-6	-4	–	1.45	-2.07
5/05	H	Buckingham, B&N	13-	5	8	6		-1.45	1.53
5/09	A	The Governor's Academy	5-	13	-8	-9		1.45	1.40
5/12	A	Noble & Greenough	11-	17	-6	-5		1.45	-0.81
5/14	H	Holderness	5-	13	-8	-2	–––	-1.45	-6.15
5/16	H	Milton Academy	9-	14	-5	0	––	-1.45	-5.35
5/19	H	St George's	6-	5	1	2		-1.45	-1.20
5/21	A	Lawrence Academy	12-	4	8	1	+++	1.45	7.21
5/23	H	St Mark's	5-	7	-2	5	–––	-1.45	-6.94
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/25	H	Groton School	14-	1	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	505
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.71		Natl Power Rank	505
Natl SOS Rating	90.78		Natl SOS Rank	106
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	2718
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1934
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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