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St Peter Marian Guardians (11-9)

Conference: CentMass

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Vincent Jacques

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at St Johns Shrewsbury (18-3)	MA 2	92.0	1	L	5-	13		-0.050
4/10	SHREWSBURY (14-7)	MA 2	88.6	4	W	12-	8		0.300
4/14	at Grafton (13-4)	MA 2	87.3	9	L	8-	9		-0.275
4/22	HOLY NAME CATH CENT (0-7)	MA 2	74.8		W	14-	2		0.000
4/24	at Groton-Dunstable (13-7)	MA 2	87.7	6	L	6-	11		-0.225
4/26	at Northbridge (7-13)	MA 2	82.6		W	13-	6		0.200
4/29	WACHUSETT (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	L	9-	10		-0.225
5/01	at Worcester Combined (0-19)	MA 2	75.6		W	10-	3		0.025
5/03	ST JOHNS SHREWSBURY (18-3)	MA 2	92.0	1	L	4-	10		-0.050
5/08	at Shrewsbury (14-7)	MA 2	88.6	4	W	11-	9		0.325
5/10	at Leominster (4-14)	MA 2	80.7		W	8-	3		0.100
5/12	at St Bernard-Fitchburg (12-10)	MA 2	87.6	7	L	9-	15		-0.225
5/14	ST BERNARD-FITCHBURG (12-10)	MA 2	87.6	7	W	5-	4	ot	0.250
5/15	GROTON-DUNSTABLE (13-7)	MA 2	87.7	6	L	4-	5		-0.250
5/17	at Wachusett (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	L	7-	9		-0.200
5/22	WORCESTER COMBINED (0-19)	MA 2	75.6		W	9-	3		0.000
5/23	NORTHBRIDGE (7-13)	MA 2	82.6		W	7-	4		0.175
5/24	LEOMINSTER (4-14)	MA 2	80.7		W	13-	1		0.100
5/29	at Grafton (13-4)	MA 2	87.3	9	W	9-	7		0.225
5/31	at Westborough (13-5)	MA 2	89.9	2	L	3-	15		-0.125
			83.0						0.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	5-	13	-8	-8		0.32	0.23
4/10	H	Shrewsbury	12-	8	4	-2	+++	-0.32	6.05
4/14	A	Grafton	8-	9	-1	1		0.32	-1.95
4/22	H	Holy Name Cath Cent	14-	2	12	12		-0.32	0.33
4/24	A	Groton-Dunstable	6-	11	-5	-1	––	0.32	-4.13
4/26	A	Northbridge	13-	6	7	2	++	0.32	4.69
4/29	H	Wachusett	9-	10	-1	-1		-0.32	0.09
5/01	A	Worcester Combined	10-	3	7	9	–	0.32	-2.45
5/03	H	St Johns Shrewsbury	4-	10	-6	-8		-0.32	1.60
5/08	A	Shrewsbury	11-	9	2	-3	++	0.32	4.68
5/10	A	Leominster	8-	3	5	6		0.32	-0.72
5/12	A	St Bernard-Fitchburg	9-	15	-6	-1	––	0.32	-4.93
5/14	H	St Bernard-Fitchburg	5-	4	1	0		-0.32	1.44
5/15	H	Groton-Dunstable	4-	5	-1	0		-0.32	-0.76
5/17	A	Wachusett	7-	9	-2	-2		0.32	-0.28
5/22	H	Worcester Combined	9-	3	6	10	––	-0.32	-4.08
5/23	H	Northbridge	7-	4	3	3		-0.32	0.06
5/24	H	Leominster	13-	1	12	6	++	-0.32	5.65
5/29	A	Grafton	9-	7	2	1		0.32	1.05
5/31	A	Westborough	3-	15	-12	-5	–––	0.32	-6.57
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/22	H	Holy Name Cath Cent	14-	2	-0.33
5/24	H	Leominster	13-	1	-2.00
5/31	A	Westborough	3-	15	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	903
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.36		Natl Power Rank	903
Natl SOS Rating	75.62		Natl SOS Rank	1328
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	1149
W-L Pct Rating	0.55		W-L Pct Rank	1082
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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