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Spotsylvania LC Ravens (7-9)

Region: VA RALL

State: VA

Coach: Rocco Alvaro

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/21	JAMES RIVER LC (6-2)	VA RALL	77.0	5	L	4-	12		-0.175
3/23	WEAVER LC (4-4)	VA RALL	68.7		L	7-	8		-0.300
3/28	at Swift Creek LC (7-6)	VA Indep	76.8	6	L	6-	7		-0.150
3/30	at Patrick Henry LC (3-8)	VA RALL	66.5		W	10-	5		0.175
4/02	at Hanover LC (14-4)	VA RALL	79.7	3	L	6-	10		-0.100
4/04	at Fredericksburg Academy (5-9)	VA 3 Delaney	79.8		L	2-	3		0.000
4/06	JAMES MONROE (1-8)	VA Battfd	74.7		W	7-	3		0.350
4/19	at Richmond LC (5-2)	VA Indep	90.0	1	L	1-	15		0.000
4/21	LAFAYETTE (0-17)	VA BayRiv	69.0		W	7-	1		0.200
4/24	at Godwin LC (3-15)	VA RALL	64.7		W	9-	8		0.200
5/01	at Weaver LC (4-4)	VA RALL	68.7		L	7-	8		-0.250
5/03	PATRICK HENRY LC (3-8)	VA RALL	66.5		W	5-	3		0.125
5/10	at Deep Run LC (12-4)	VA RALL	77.9	4	L	5-	9		-0.150
5/16	vs. James River LC # (6-2)	VA RALL	77.0	5	L	8-	9		-0.150
5/19	vs. Godwin LC # (3-15)	VA RALL	64.7		W	6-	2		0.175
5/19	vs. Weaver LC # (4-4)	VA RALL	68.7		W	3-	2		0.225
# Neutral site			75.8						0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	James River LC	4-	12	-8	-3	––	-0.88	-4.94
3/23	H	Weaver LC	7-	8	-1	2	–	-0.88	-3.21
3/28	A	Swift Creek LC	6-	7	-1	-4	+	0.88	3.26
3/30	A	Patrick Henry LC	10-	5	5	3		0.88	1.74
4/02	A	Hanover LC	6-	10	-4	-6		0.88	1.96
4/04	A	Fredericksburg Academy	2-	3	-1	-11	+++	0.60		10.01
4/06	H	James Monroe	7-	3	4	-4	+++	-1.40		7.90
4/19	A	Richmond LC	1-	15	-14	-17	+	0.88	2.93
4/21	H	Lafayette	7-	1	6	2	++	-1.40		4.12
4/24	A	Godwin LC	9-	8	1	2		0.88	-1.24
5/01	A	Weaver LC	7-	8	-1	0		0.88	-1.46
5/03	H	Patrick Henry LC	5-	3	2	5	–	-0.88	-3.02
5/10	A	Deep Run LC	5-	9	-4	-4		0.88	0.49
5/16	N	James River LC	8-	9	-1	-4	+	0.00	2.94
5/19	N	Godwin LC	6-	2	4	3		0.00	0.88
5/19	N	Weaver LC	3-	2	1	1		0.00	-0.33
									0.00	22.03

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/19	A	Richmond LC	1-	15	-2.93
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	2461
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.44		Natl Power Rank	2461
Natl SOS Rating	63.45		Natl SOS Rank	2330
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	846
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1553
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3

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