| Region: MD 43 East | State: MD | Coach: Troy Smith |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/21 | at Annapolis (12-5) | MD 43 East | 91.1 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.250 |
3/23 | NORTH COUNTY (5-12) | MD 43 South | 78.9 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/27 | at Southern AA (7-7) | MD 21 East | 86.7 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.175 |
3/30 | at Glen Burnie (1-11) | MD 43 South | 73.6 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/04 | CHAPEL HILL (22-4) | NC 4A | 95.2 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.325 |
4/07 | vs. River Hill # (12-4) | MD 32 South | 89.6 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.175 |
4/07 | vs. Bel Air # (10-5) | MD 32 North | 88.7 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.175 |
4/10 | CHESAPEAKE-AA (6-10) | MD 43 East | 82.3 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.075 |
4/17 | at Old Mill (10-5) | MD 43 East | 90.1 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.275 |
4/20 | SEVERNA PARK (18-2) | MD 43 East | 96.8 | 1 | L | 5- | 16 | | -0.100 |
4/25 | NORTHEAST AA (10-6) | MD 32 East | 88.4 | | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.175 |
4/28 | at Arundel (4-10) | MD 43 East | 81.6 | | W | 16- | 6 | | 0.100 |
5/01 | at Meade (0-13) | MD 43 East | 72.4 | | W | 13- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/04 | BROADNECK (12-4) | MD 43 East | 92.2 | 9 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.250 |
5/10 | CHOPTICON (6-9) | MD 43 East | 77.0 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/12 | at Broadneck (12-4) | MD 43 East | 92.2 | 9 | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.300 |
5/14 | at Severna Park (18-2) | MD 43 East | 96.8 | 1 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.075 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.5 | | | | | | 0.55 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/21 | A | Annapolis | 6- | 8 | -2 | 0 | | 0.72 | -1.66 | |
3/23 | H | North County | 14- | 2 | 12 | 11 | | -0.72 | 0.57 | |
3/27 | A | Southern AA | 10- | 5 | 5 | 3 | + | 0.72 | 2.45 | |
3/30 | A | Glen Burnie | 15- | 2 | 13 | 14 | | 0.72 | -1.06 | |
4/04 | H | Chapel Hill | 7- | 6 | 1 | -3 | ++ | -0.73 | | 4.10 |
4/07 | N | River Hill | 8- | 6 | 2 | 3 | | 0.00 | -0.59 | |
4/07 | N | Bel Air | 13- | 3 | 10 | 3 | +++ | 0.00 | 7.27 | |
4/10 | H | Chesapeake-AA | 12- | 7 | 5 | 7 | – | -0.72 | -2.11 | |
4/17 | A | Old Mill | 6- | 8 | -2 | 1 | – | 0.72 | -2.82 | |
4/20 | H | Severna Park | 5- | 16 | -11 | -6 | –– | -0.72 | -4.98 | |
4/25 | H | NorthEast AA | 13- | 10 | 3 | 3 | | -0.72 | -0.29 | |
4/28 | A | Arundel | 16- | 6 | 10 | 6 | ++ | 0.72 | 4.24 | |
5/01 | A | Meade | 13- | 0 | 13 | 15 | | 0.72 | -1.67 | |
5/04 | H | Broadneck | 5- | 12 | -7 | 0 | ––– | -0.72 | -6.64 | |
5/10 | H | Chopticon | 13- | 3 | 10 | 13 | – | -0.72 | -2.98 | |
5/12 | A | Broadneck | 11- | 9 | 2 | -2 | + | 0.72 | 3.80 | |
5/14 | A | Severna Park | 9- | 10 | -1 | -7 | +++ | 0.72 | 6.47 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 4.10 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/23 | H | North County | 14- | 2 | -0.57 |
3/30 | A | Glen Burnie | 15- | 2 | 1.06 |
4/07 | N | Bel Air | 13- | 3 | 0.00 |
4/20 | H | Severna Park | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
4/28 | A | Arundel | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
5/01 | A | Meade | 13- | 0 | 1.67 |
5/10 | H | Chopticon | 13- | 3 | 2.98 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.36 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 519 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.42 | | Natl Power Rank | 519 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.53 | | Natl SOS Rank | 604 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.55 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 544 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.71 | | W-L Pct Rank | 550 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.7 |
|
