| Region: OR NorVal | State: OR | Coach: Ryan Gelbrich |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/12 | THURSTON (9-8) | OR Willim | 84.9 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.250 |
3/15 | at Sisters (9-6) | OR Hi-Des | 82.8 | | W | 9- | 3 | | 0.175 |
3/20 | at Century (7-8) | OR NoWest | 84.5 | | L | 8- | 13 | | -0.200 |
3/22 | at Hillsboro (0-14) | OR NoWest | 73.1 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.025 |
4/03 | at Tualatin (6-11) | OR NorVal | 79.5 | | W | 10- | 2 | | 0.150 |
4/04 | SHERWOOD (6-9) | OR NoWest | 83.2 | | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.250 |
4/06 | at Tigard (12-4) | OR NorVal | 88.3 | | L | 10- | 11 | ot | -0.125 |
4/10 | at Churchill (15-4) | OR Willim | 90.4 | 6 | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.025 |
4/13 | at Sprague (8-10) | OR NorVal | 83.3 | | L | 10- | 11 | | -0.225 |
4/17 | WEST SALEM (5-11) | OR NorVal | 80.8 | | W | 14- | 11 | | 0.175 |
4/24 | TIGARD (12-4) | OR NorVal | 88.3 | | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.175 |
4/27 | at West Salem (5-11) | OR NorVal | 80.8 | | W | 11- | 4 | | 0.225 |
5/01 | SPRAGUE (8-10) | OR NorVal | 83.3 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.225 |
5/03 | WILSON (7-9) | OR Columb | 87.3 | | L | 5- | 17 | | -0.150 |
5/08 | TUALATIN (6-11) | OR NorVal | 79.5 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.400 |
5/11 | at Sunset (14-7) | OR Metro | 90.3 | 7 | L | 5- | 12 | | 0.000 |
5/17 | ROSEBURG (12-5) | OR Willim | 87.2 | | L | 11- | 12 | ot | -0.225 |
| | 80.3 | | | | | | -0.05 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | H | Thurston | 8- | 5 | 3 | 0 | + | -1.02 | 2.65 | |
3/15 | A | Sisters | 9- | 3 | 6 | 3 | + | 1.02 | 3.40 | |
3/20 | A | Century | 8- | 13 | -5 | -2 | – | 1.02 | -3.04 | |
3/22 | A | Hillsboro | 10- | 3 | 7 | 9 | – | 1.02 | -2.48 | |
4/03 | A | Tualatin | 10- | 2 | 8 | 4 | + | 1.02 | 3.89 | |
4/04 | H | Sherwood | 9- | 7 | 2 | 0 | | -1.02 | 1.57 | |
4/06 | A | Tigard | 10- | 11 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 1.02 | 4.38 | |
4/10 | A | Churchill | 4- | 12 | -8 | -9 | | 1.02 | 0.67 | |
4/13 | A | Sprague | 10- | 11 | -1 | -1 | | 1.02 | -0.09 | |
4/17 | H | West Salem | 14- | 11 | 3 | 3 | | -1.02 | -0.45 | |
4/24 | H | Tigard | 6- | 11 | -5 | -3 | | -1.02 | -1.66 | |
4/27 | A | West Salem | 11- | 4 | 7 | 1 | ++ | 1.02 | 5.58 | |
5/01 | H | Sprague | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | -1.02 | -0.12 | |
5/03 | H | Wilson | 5- | 17 | -12 | -4 | ––– | -1.02 | -7.59 | |
5/08 | H | Tualatin | 6- | 9 | -3 | 6 | ––– | -1.02 | -9.15 | |
5/11 | A | Sunset | 5- | 12 | -7 | -10 | + | 1.02 | 2.52 | |
5/17 | H | Roseburg | 11- | 12 | -1 | -1 | | -1.02 | -0.08 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
5/03 | H | Wilson | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.12 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 85. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1224 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 84.41 | | Natl Power Rank | 1224 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 70.66 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1849 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1458 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.47 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1413 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.7 |
|
